|

EUR/USD struggling to hang on to 1.15

  • Italian budget concerns continue to weigh on the Euro as bond yield spreads steadily widen.
  • The Euro sees a thin calendar for Tuesday, lending extra weight to political headlines for the day.

The EUR/USD is trading flat and steady in early Tuesday action just shy of the 1.15 handle as the pair holds close to near-term lows.

The Euro drifted into an early low for the week on Monday with US markets off for the long weekend, and the EUR/USD heads into Tuesday's markets with a thin calendar on the docket, though US exchanges will be back online for the week, bringing a much-needed injection of market volumes.

Europe has a thin day on the data docket for Tuesday, and market action will be going to the US session, where American PPI figures will be dropping at 12:30 GMT, and forecast to tick up slightly from 2.3% to 2.4%.

Italy headlines remain a drag on the EUR, with Italian bonds continuing to underperform against their major benchmark peers as political confidence crumbles, and the downside pull of the Italian government's budget concerns is poorly timed, with broader markets already suffering a lack of confidence at the hands of rising US Treasury bond yields and increasing discomfort surrounding global trade, and this week could see the EUR/USD take a further haircut.

EUR/USD levels to watch

The major Euro pairing looks set for an extended slide according to the charts, and according to FXStreet's own Valeria Bednarik: "the dollar seems poised to extend its advance, as, once the market returns in full fashion, there are good chances that US Treasury yields will skyrocket. The EUR/USD pair 4 hours chart shows that the pair failed to sustain modest gains above a firmly bearish 20 SMA, now offering a dynamic intraday resistance at around 1.1500, as the Momentum maintains its bearish slope below its 100 level, but the RSI indicator stabilized right above oversold readings, amid the limited volume and the lack of follow-through. The 1.1460 price zone is a strong long-term static support, as the pair topped around it multiple times between 2015 and 2017, and won't be easy to break, but if it blows away, the pair has room to extend its slump down to 1.1250."

Support levels: 1.1460 1.1420 1.1475

Resistance levels: 1.1500 1.1530 1.1565

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays weak below 1.1700 on firmer US Dollar

EUR/USD remains under moderate selling pressure and trades below 1.1700 on Monday. The pair stays on the back foot as the US Dollar benefits from the cautious market mood following the US military intervention in Venezuela and the capture of President Nicolas Maduro. Investors await US Manufacturing PMI data.

GBP/USD holds steady above 1.3450 ahead of US data

GBP/USD stages a rebound and trades above 1.3450 following a decline toward 1.3400 earlier in the day. Markets remain wary and prefer safety in the US Dollar due the US-Venezuela geopolitical escalation, limiting the pair's upside. Investors now await the US ISM Manufacturing PMI report for December.

Gold clings to strong daily gains above $4,400

Gold started the week on a bullish note and climbed above $4,400 before going into a consolidation phase in the second half of the day on Monday. Heightened geopolitical tensions help XAU/USD hold its ground after the US launched land strikes on Venezuela, leading to the capture of its President, Nicolás Maduro, and his wife.

ISM Manufacturing PMI set to show US factory activity remained in contraction at year-end

The Institute for Supply Management is scheduled to release the December Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index on Monday. The index is a trusted measure of the health of the United States manufacturing sector, closely followed by market players.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Meme Coins Price Prediction: Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Pepe rally on Venezuela’s shadow BTC reserve

Meme coins such as Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe are leading the cryptocurrency market rally driven by the US cross-border operation to capture Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. Dogecoin extends its gain for the fifth consecutive day while SHIB and PEPE take a pause.