|

EUR/USD struggling for a firm direction, US data and Fed awaited

   •  Remains capped at 1.1660 support turned resistance. 
   •  US macro data and Fed decision hold the key.

The EUR/USD pair extended its range-bound price action and remained capped below 1.1660 support turned resistance. 

Against the backdrop of last week's dovish ECB tapering decision, Tuesday's softer-than-expected October flash EZ inflation print partly negated upbeat growth figures and did little to provide any immediate respite for the shared currency.

   •  Eurozone: Strong yet slightly diminishing economic momentum - Raboban

Adding to this, resurgent US Dollar demand, backed by a renewed pickup in the US Treasury bond yields and supported by Tuesday's strong second-tier US economic data, further collaborating towards capping the pair. 

Despite the negative factors, the pair lacked any bearish pressure are traders seemed reluctant to place aggressive bets ahead of a busy second half of the week. 

   •  EUR futures: rallies remain tepid

Today's US economic docket features the release of ADP report on private sector employment and the ISM manufacturing PMI print, which would be looked upon for some short-term trading opportunities ahead of the key FOMC decision. 

This, along with the closely watched US monthly jobs report, popularly known as NFP and due for release on Friday, would also play an important role in determining the pair's next leg of directional move.

Technical levels to watch

Any weakness below 1.1625 level is likely to find support near the 1.1600 handle, which if broken now seems to pave way for extension of the pair's near-term downward trajectory towards 1.1550 intermediate support en-route the key 1.15 psychological mark. 

On the upside, 1.1660 area, closely followed by the 1.1690 region (100-day SMA) are likely to act as an immediate hurdle, above which a bout of short-covering could lift the pair towards 1.1750 horizontal resistance ahead of 1.1780 level.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD loses ground below 1.1850 ahead of FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair loses traction near 1.1840 during the early European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand. Traders brace for the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes for signals on future rate cuts, which will be released later on Wednesday. 

When is the UK CPI data and how could it affect GBP/USD?

The United Kingdom Consumer Price Index data for January is scheduled to be published today at 07:00 GMT. GBP/USD trades slightly lower at around 1.3556 as of writing. The 20-period Exponential Moving Average trends lower at 1.3593 and continues to cap rebounds. Price holds beneath this gauge, maintaining a short-term bearish bias.

Gold: Is the $5,000 level back in sight?

Gold snaps a two-day downtrend, as recovery gathers traction toward $5,000 on Wednesday. The US Dollar recovers from the overnight sell-off as rebalancing trades resume ahead of Fed Minutes. The 38.2% Fib support holds on the daily chart for now. What does that mean for Gold?

Pi Network rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges. The technical outlook focuses on the $0.1919 resistance as bullish momentum increases.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.