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EUR/USD still seen at 1.04 in 1-month – Danske Bank

Senior Analyst at Danske Bank Sverre Holbek still expects the pair to grind lower to the 1.04 area in a month’s view.

Key Quotes

“The FX market interpreted the comments from ECB President Mario Draghi at yesterday’s press conference as dovish, which sent EUR/USD below 1.06. In general, this is in line with our short-term view on EUR/USD, where we look for EUR/USD to go 1.04 in 1M and 1.05 in 3M”.

“We note that it is not a one way street lower for EUR/USD in the near term though”.

“The change in US cash balance policy will result in a USD cash deluge from the treasury account in Q1. The increase in USD supply will ease upward pressure on the USD and, hence, downside potential for EUR/USD”.

Sell 42%
Buy 58%
100.0%42.0%040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
Avg Sell Price 1.0585
Avg Buy Price 1.0600
Liquidity Distribution
1.01571.05951.080000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.911.100.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.911.01571.05951.0800SellBuy

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

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