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EUR/USD steadies below 1.2200 following sharp fluctuations

  • EUR/USD remains on track to close little changed on Thursday.
  • ECB left its policy settings unchanged as expected.
  • US Dollar Index continues to hold above 90.00.

After staying calm below 1.2100 during the first half of the day, the EUR/USD pair fluctuated sharply as investors assessed the European Central Bank's (ECB) policy announcements. Following a sharp drop to a six-day low of 1.2144, the pair staged a rebound but lost its momentum before reclaiming 1.2200. As of writing, EUR/USD was virtually unchanged on the day at 1.2175.

ECB keeps status quo

Following its June policy meeting, the ECB decided to leave the interest rates on the main refinancing operations, the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility unchanged at 0.00%, 0.25% and -0.50%, respectively, as expected. The ECB also noted that it will maintain the total envelope of the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) at €1,850 billion until at least the end of March 2022.

During the press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde said it was too early to talk about a 'PEPP exit' and added that there was broad agreement on the monetary policy decisions.

Citing sources familiar with the matter, Reuters reported that three ECB policymakers wanted to reduce the pace of the PEPP on improving economic prospects.

On the other hand, the data published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed on Thursday that inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), climbed to 5% on a yearly basis in May from 4.2% in April. This reading beat the market expectation of 4.7% and helped the USD gather strength.

However, the greenback lost its strength with Wall Street's main indexes opening sharply higher and the S&P 500 Index reaching a new record high. At the moment, the US Dollar Index is posting small daily losses at 90.07.

Technical levels to watch for

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2175
Today Daily Change-0.0006
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open1.2181
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2186
Daily SMA501.2075
Daily SMA1001.2043
Daily SMA2001.1989
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2218
Previous Daily Low1.2171
Previous Weekly High1.2254
Previous Weekly Low1.2104
Previous Monthly High1.2266
Previous Monthly Low1.1986
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.22
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2189
Daily Pivot Point S11.2162
Daily Pivot Point S21.2143
Daily Pivot Point S31.2115
Daily Pivot Point R11.2209
Daily Pivot Point R21.2237
Daily Pivot Point R31.2256

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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