|

EUR/USD stays positive near 1.2320 ahead of Powell

  • The pair’s up move run out of legs above 1.2340 today.
  • USD a tad weak, remains sidelined below the 90.00 handle.
  • German advanced February CPI and Powell’s testimony in the limelight.

The continuation of the selling pressure around the greenback is helping EUR/USD to stick to the daily gains in the 1.2330/40 band.

EUR/USD focused on German data, Powell

The pair is losing the grip during the European afternoon, fading the earlier spike to session tops in the 1.2340/45 band, all amidst some recovery in the buck and in-line results from the region’s docket.

In fact, EMU’s M3 Money Supply expanded at an annualized 4.6% while Private Sector Loans rose 2.9% on a yearly basis. Still in the euro bloc, Business Climate surprised to the upside in February and Consumer Sentiment came in at 0.1, matching previous estimates although falling from January’s 1.3.

Ahead in the day, advanced German inflation figures for the month of February should keep the attention on EUR prior to Fed Powell’s Semi-Annual Testimony before Congress.

Further publications across the pond include January’s Durable Goods Orders, Trade Balance figures and the CB’s Consumer Confidence.

In the broader EUR picture, risk appetite trends, German politics and the upcoming Italian elections should keeps investors entertained, while Chairman Powell is expected to deliver a cautious message emphasizing policy continuity.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is gaining 0.03% at 1.2321 and a break above 1.2361 (21-day sma) would target 1.2366 (10-day sma) en route to 1.2537 (high Jan.25). On the other hand, the immediate support emerges at 1.2260 (low Feb.22) followed by 1.2206 (low Feb.9) and finally 1.2165 (low Jan.18).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.