|

EUR/USD slumps as US Dollar surges on strong US data, tests 1.1700

  • The Euro weakens for the second consecutive day as robust US data boosts the Greenback.
  • Jobless Claims, GDP and Durable Goods all beat expectations, signaling resilient growth.
  • Q2 Core PCE rises to 2.6%; focus now shifts to Friday’s August Core PCE inflation release.

The Euro (EUR) extends its decline for the second day against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, weighed down by a string of upbeat US economic data that boosted the Greenback across the board.

At the time of writing, EUR/USD is hovering just above the 1.1700 psychological mark, down nearly 0.30% on the day, marking its weakest level since September 11, as traders react to the stronger-than-expected US economic release. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback's value against a basket of six major peers, extends its rebound, surging to 98.16, a 20-day high.

The latest round of US data releases painted a picture of resilient growth and sticky inflation, reinforcing the US Dollar’s bid. Initial Jobless Claims came in at 218K, beating expectations of 235K and down from 232K the previous week. At the same time, Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was revised higher to an annualized 3.8% from 3.3%, well above forecasts.

Durable Goods Orders also surprised to the upside, surging 2.9% in August, while orders ex-defense climbed 1.9%, pointing to firm business investment.

Meanwhile, the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index included in the Q2 GDP report rose slightly to 2.6% from 2.5%. However, investors are primarily focused on Friday’s August Core PCE inflation release, which will carry greater weight for monetary policy expectations.

The strong data mix complicates the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious easing path. While markets still expect another rate cut in October, the scale of the monetary policy adjustment may be tempered if inflation remains sticky against the backdrop of robust growth.

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls seem hesitant below 0.7050 ahead of RBA on Tuesday

AUD/USD reverses an Asian session dip on Monday as renewed optimism over Iran diplomacy boosts investor confidence, keeping a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar and supporting the risk-sensitive Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the one-month high, touched last Thursday, as bulls wait for the crucial RBA decision before taking fresh positions.



USD/JPY climbs to 158.00 neighborhood as BoJ uncertainty weighs on the JPY

The USD/JPY pair gains some positive traction at the start of a new week, recovering further from Friday's post-Bank of Japan (BoJ) swing low to sub-157.00 levels. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 158.00 neighborhood during the Asian session and seems unaffected by fresh intervention warning from Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama.

Gold recovers on positive US-Iran headlines

Gold extends its recovery during American trading hours on Monday, supported by falling Oil prices following positive headlines on US-Iran talks. The metal regains ground after hitting a fresh yearly low of $3,870 on Friday and ending October down 6.87%. However, the rebound lacks conviction as the fundamental backdrop continues to raise doubts over a sustained recovery.

Bitcoin braces for US midterm elections as historical sell-offs revive downside concerns
Bitcoin (BTC) braces for the impact of the US midterm elections, just a week after the $6 billion hack from Binance. Historically, congressional elections have negatively affected not just the president’s party but also Bitcoin. In the last 22 midterms, the ruling party has gained House seats only twice, while the three most recent elections coincided with Bitcoin’s bear market bottoms.
Why strong US growth could not stop the bond rally and AI selloff

The US economy grew at a 3.4% annual rate, yet Treasury yields fell and the Nasdaq ended October with its worst monthly performance since March 2025. The market is no longer rewarding capital expenditure simply because it supports growth. Investors are testing whether that expenditure can produce cash flow and returns above the cost of capital.



The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.