|

EUR/USD slides to three-month low as Fed’s hawkish tone fuels US Dollar rally

  • EUR/USD slips to a three-month low as the Fed’s hawkish guidance boosts the US Dollar.
  • The US Dollar Index hovers near 99.80, on track for a second straight monthly gain amid fading rate-cut bets.
  • Policy divergence widens after the Fed’s 'hawkish cut' and the ECB’s steady-rate stance.

The Euro (EUR) weakens further against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with EUR/USD slipping to a three-month low. The pair remains under pressure as the Greenback draws support from the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish tone after delivering a widely expected 25-basis-point rate cut earlier this week.

At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1523, extending losses for the third consecutive day and on track to post its first monthly decline in three months.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of six major currencies, is hovering near three-month highs around 99.80. The index is on course for a second consecutive monthly gain, supported by fading expectations of another interest rate cut this year.

As the dust settles from this week’s central bank decisions, policy divergence between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) has become more pronounced. The Fed delivered a 'hawkish' cut on Wednesday, lowering the federal funds rate to a range of 3.75%-4.00% in a 10-2 vote.

The move, in line with market expectations, was accompanied by cautious guidance from Chair Jerome Powell, which tempered expectations of another rate reduction in December, a move investors had largely considered a done deal.

In contrast, the ECB kept its interest rate unchanged for the third consecutive meeting, citing that inflation remains close to the central bank’s 2% medium-term target and that the Eurozone economy continues to expand despite global headwinds, supported by a resilient labor market.

The central bank reaffirmed its data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach, emphasizing that it is not pre-committing to any specific rate path and will adjust policy in line with incoming data and evolving inflation dynamics.

Earlier in the day, comments from Fed officials reinforced the central bank’s cautious stance. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said the Fed’s mandates are “in tension,” adding that he supported this week’s rate cut because policy remains in restrictive territory.

Meanwhile, Cleveland Fed President Beth M. Hammack noted she would have preferred to hold rates steady, emphasizing that the central bank is “not on a preset course.” Bostic also welcomed Chair Powell’s remarks that a December rate cut is “far from a foregone move."

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.36%0.14%-0.03%0.23%0.22%0.37%0.32%
EUR-0.36%-0.23%-0.39%-0.13%-0.14%0.00%-0.04%
GBP-0.14%0.23%-0.16%0.10%0.10%0.24%0.18%
JPY0.03%0.39%0.16%0.25%0.25%0.39%0.34%
CAD-0.23%0.13%-0.10%-0.25%-0.02%0.14%0.08%
AUD-0.22%0.14%-0.10%-0.25%0.02%0.14%0.10%
NZD-0.37%-0.01%-0.24%-0.39%-0.14%-0.14%-0.06%
CHF-0.32%0.04%-0.18%-0.34%-0.08%-0.10%0.06%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains weak near 1.1800

EUR/USD remains on the back foot on Thursday, trading close to the 1.1800 support ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The pair’s pullback comes amid further gains in the Greenback, while investors keep assessing the ECB’s decision to leave its policy rates unchanged

GBP/USD falls to new lows near 1.3530

GBP/USD extends Wednesday’s pullback on Thursday, easing lower towards two week lows around the 1.3530 area. Ongoing strength in the Greenback and the dovish hold from the BoE at its earlier meeting are keeping demand for the British Pound on the defensive for now.

Gold fails to sustain gains above $5,000 for third consecutive day

Gold is back under pressure on Thursday, slipping back towards the $4,800 region per troy ounce. A firmer US Dollar is weighing on the yellow metal, even as the broader mood remains risk off. That said, falling US Treasury yields across the curve are helping to cushion the downside and, for now at least, are limiting the depth of the pullback.

Strategy's Bitcoin treasury in focus as MSTR crashes alongside crypto market
Strategy (MSTR), the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin (BTC), is in focus ahead of its earnings call on Thursday amid an intensifying crypto market sell-off. Also caught in the headwinds is the MSTR stock, trading at $114 at the time of writing, down over 12% intraday.
The AI mirror just turned on tech and nobody likes the reflection

Tech just got hit with a different kind of selloff. Not the usual rates tantrum, not a recession whisper, not even an earnings miss in the classic sense. This was the market staring into an AI mirror and recoiling at its reflection.

Breaking: Bitcoin slips below $70,000 as falling knife scenario in play

Bitcoin (BTC) price dips below $70,000 on Thursday, having corrected nearly 20% for this year. Market momentum turned extremely bearish, with technical indicators pointing to further downside toward the next key support at $65,000.