|

EUR/USD sits at weekly tops above 1.1050, eyes on ECB-speak, trade

  • EUR/USD buoyed by USD, T-yields weakness amid trade uncertainty.
  • Bulls could face rejection at 100-DMA near 1.1095 in the short-term.
  • ECB-speak, Buba monthly report and trade developments next of note.

EUR/USD is seen building on its last week’ s recovery above the 1.1050 level, having hit weekly highs at 1.1065 on mild US dollar weakness across the board. The bulls consolidate the latest uptick, awaiting fresh trading impetus heading into the European open.

EUR/USD: 50-DMA at 1.1042 could cap the immediate downside

The shared currency continues to keep the upper edge against the US dollar for the third straight day on Monday, as a lack of clear signals on the likely US-China trade deal combined with mixed US fundamentals continue to weigh on the US Treasury yields, in turn leaving the greenback depressed vs. its main rivals.

Despite the recent optimistic comments from the both the US and Chinese officials, uncertainty still prevails whether both sides will reach the Phase One of the trade deal or if the US will refrain from the Dec 15 tariff hike. Therefore, the market mood remains dampened, weighing on the risk assets such as the Treasury yields.

On the EUR-side of the equation, the Eurozone October inflation came in as expected, up by 0.7% YoY and core CPI up by 1.1%, which supported the ongoing upbeat momentum in the common currency.

Looking ahead, the bulls target the 100-DMA now located at 1.1093 should the recovery momentum extend. On the flip side, the 50-DMA at 1.1042 could guard the downside if the ECB speakers bolster dovish expectations. However, the US-China trade developments will continue to remain the main market driver.  

EUR/USD Technical levels to consider

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1060
Today Daily Change0.0005
Today Daily Change %0.05
Today daily open1.1055
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1087
Daily SMA501.1042
Daily SMA1001.1098
Daily SMA2001.118
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1058
Previous Daily Low1.1014
Previous Weekly High1.1058
Previous Weekly Low1.0989
Previous Monthly High1.118
Previous Monthly Low1.0879
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1042
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1031
Daily Pivot Point S11.1027
Daily Pivot Point S21.0999
Daily Pivot Point S31.0983
Daily Pivot Point R11.1071
Daily Pivot Point R21.1087
Daily Pivot Point R31.1115

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flirts with 0.7000, lowest since early August amid bullish USD

AUD/USD hits a fresh low since early August during the Asian session on Friday and looks vulnerable near 0.7000 after breaking below the 200-day SMA overnight. Against the backdrop of the hawkish Fed, a two-day rally in oil prices revives inflation fears and continues to push US bond yields to multi-year highs. Adding to this, geopolitical risks lift the US Dollar to a two-month high, overshadowing RBA rate hike bets and weighing on the pair.

USD/JPY pulls back from three-week high after failing near 159.00

USD/JPY edges lower during the Asian session on Friday, stalling its recent strong move to a three-week high of 159.00 as Japanese Yen bears turn cautious amid intervention fears. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a strong bullish undertone as the Fed's hawkish outlook and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year peaks. Furthermore, the BoJ's dovish rate hike last week might cap JPY and support spot prices.

Gold treads water below $4,300

Gold grabs some buying attention and advances marginally at the end of the week, partially retracing the weekly decline, although it is still navigating below the key $4,300 mark per troy ounce. The fresh selling bias on the Greenback and the modest decline in US Treasury yields appear to support the humble advance in the precious metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin and Ethereum edge lower, XRP extends recovery as macro headwinds weigh

The broader cryptocurrency market is consolidating on Friday, with Bitcoin paring losses slightly above $84,000. Ethereum declines in tandem with BTC. Ripple (XRP), meanwhile, paints a different picture.



Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which
The Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.