|

EUR/USD sees halting gains for Friday, trying to climb back into 1.07

  • The Euro is seeing a thin rebound on Friday after declining steadily through the week.
  • Concerns are mounting that the ECB may have to move more to cap inflation.
  • Up Next: Tuesday sees EU GDP, US CPI inflation readings.

The EUR/USD is seeing a minor rebound on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) cools its heels following a week of steady gains that sent the Euro (EUR) down almost a full percent top-to-bottom from Monday's peak of 1.0756.

EU data was relatively thin this week with much of the market focus going to central bank figures. European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde avoided making any waves on Friday during a public appearance, and markets are still chewing developments after Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell came out with unexpectedly hawkish comments on Thursday.

Fed Chair Powell noted that the Fed isn't entirely confident that they have done enough to reign in inflation, and market corkscrewed on the statements.

EU GDP, US CPI in the pipe for next week

Next week sees EU Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures on Tuesday, to be followed by US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures.

The EU's third quarter GDP  is expected to hold steady for both the monthly and annualized figures, forecast at -0.1% and 0.1% respectively.

On the US side, headline CPI for October is expected to fall back from 0.4% to 0.1%, while Core CPI for the year into October is expected to hold steady at 4.1%.

With the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed market focus on central bank statements, next week's growth and inflation figures are set to have an increased impact if figures deviate from forecasts.

EUR/USD Technical Outlook

The Euro has spent most of the week hung up on the 1.0700 price level after Monday's clean rejection from 1.0750.

The EUR/USD has been capped off by the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 1.0800, with a bearish 50-day SMA putting a floor underneath prices, leaving the pair strung in the middle as prices consolidate between the moving averages.

Despite still being down over 5% from July's peaks near 1.1275, the EUR/USD pair has been steadily grinding higher from early October's swing low into 1.0450.

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Technical Levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0685
Today Daily Change0.0021
Today Daily Change %0.20
Today daily open1.0664
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0611
Daily SMA501.0624
Daily SMA1001.0797
Daily SMA2001.0803
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0725
Previous Daily Low1.066
Previous Weekly High1.0747
Previous Weekly Low1.0517
Previous Monthly High1.0695
Previous Monthly Low1.0448
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0685
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0701
Daily Pivot Point S11.0641
Daily Pivot Point S21.0618
Daily Pivot Point S31.0576
Daily Pivot Point R11.0706
Daily Pivot Point R21.0748
Daily Pivot Point R31.0771

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds losses below 1.3550 after weak UK jobs data

GBP/USD holds losses below 1.3550 in European trading hours on Tuesday. The UK ILO Unemployment Rate held steady at 4.9% in the three months to June, against a forecast of 4.8%, while Employment Change arrived at 83K in the same period versus 147K previous. Weak UK labor data keep the British Pound under pressure, driving the pair lower.

EUR/USD stays below 1.1600 despite upbeat sentiment data

EUR/USD struggles to gain traction and trades below 1.1600 in the European session on Tuesday, even after the data from the Eurozone and Germany highlighted improving economic sentiment in August. The US Dollar (USD) benefits from the risk-averse market atmosphere as tensions in Middle East remain high, making it difficult for the pair to turn north.

Gold sticks to losses below $4,400 as USD recovers further from two-month low

Gold remains depressed below the $4,400 mark through the first half of the European session, snapping a two-day winning streak amid a broadly firmer US Dollar. Inflation risks stemming from higher oil prices back the case for at least one interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve in 2026.

Pi Network holds steady amid app studio costs surge to push user adoption

Pi Network extends a consolidation range capped below $0.0900 holding above the $0.0839 support level. PI token remains under pressure as the Core Team pushes for real user adoption by raising costs for AI-powered app creation, effective from August 24. Leverage-linked risk exposure eases as Open Interest declines despite an increase in social interest.

Fiscal concerns and doubts on Fed independence send US yields to long-term highs

US Treasury yields keep rising across the curve this week, with the yield for the 30-year Treasury bond reaching its highest level since 2007, during the global financial crisis, at 5.33% so far on Monday. A mix of concerns about the ballooning US fiscal deficit and growing doubts about the Federal Reserve’s Independence are increasing pressure on US Government Bonds.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.