EUR/USD seen at 1.1900 in a year as USD expected to fall – Reuters poll

Dhwani Mehta FXStreet

According to a Reuters poll of strategists, the US dollar is expected to drop across its main competitors over the coming year, in the wake of a slowing US economy, a widening fiscal deficit and a dovish Federal Reserve.

Key Findings:

“The currency is forecast to give back some gains over the coming year.

The dollar is expected to weaken, with the euro forecast at $1.19 in a year, over a 5 percent rise from $1.13 on Wednesday, according to the poll of over 70 currency strategists taken Feb 28-March 6.

But that outlook for 12 months ahead was a downgrade for the single currency against the dollar compared with last month.

On US-China trade deal:

Any resolution to an ongoing trade dispute between the United States and China is also unlikely to change the fortunes of the dollar.

If the two countries do achieve a trade deal within the next month or so, the dollar is expected to make no significant move, while in a no-deal scenario, the greenback was forecast to rise by 1 percent.”

Author

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

USD/JPY extends sell-off below 157.00 on hawkish BoJ repricing

USD/JPY extends sell-off below 157.00 in European trading on Thursday. Traders react negatively to the weak US ADP report, smashing the US Dollar across the board and exerting renewed selling pressure on the pair. Meanwhile, hawkish BoJ expectations and intervention risks continue to lend support to the Japanese Yen, rendering it negative for the major.

AUD/USD ranges above 0.7150 despite upbeat Chinese PMI

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day's bounce from a nearly two-week low and ranges above 0.7150 in Asia on Thursday, as dismal Australian trade data counter upbeat China's RatingDog Services PMI. However, the pair's upside remains in check as the US Dollar stalls the weak ADP report-led slide amid escalating US-Iran tensions and firming September Fed rate-hike bets.

Gold sticks to gains below $4,450 amid weaker USD

Gold maintains its bid tone heading into the European session, though it remains below $4,450 amid mixed fundamental cues. Sliding US bond yields and Wednesday's soft US ADP report weigh on the US Dollar, assisting the commodity build on the previous day's goodish recovery from a nearly four-week low. That said, firming US Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations and inflation risks stemming from higher energy prices could act as a tailwind for US bond yields.

XRP defends key support, XLM awaits breakout as derivatives strengthen

Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) show divergent technical outlooks as traders assess whether the recent weakness could give way to a recovery. XRP is finding support and defining a key support zone, while XLM slips below a cluster of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).

Ripple defends key support; Stellar awaits breakout as derivatives strengthen

Ripple and Stellar show divergent technical outlooks as traders assess whether the recent weakness could give way to a recovery. XRP is finding support and defining a key support zone, while XLM slips below a cluster of Exponential Moving Averages.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.