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EUR/USD retreats from 1.0800 as Fed pause bets fade post mammoth US NFP report

  • EUR/USD has faced barricades around 1.0800 the risk-off impulse inspired by upbeat US NFP is still solid.
  • The 10-year US Treasury yields have scaled up 3.51% again amid a rebound in US inflation projections.
  • Higher US NFP might offset the impact of a decline in the employment cost index.

The EUR/USD pair has sensed selling interest after a pullback move to near the round-level resistance of 1.0800 in the early Asian session. The major currency pair has resumed its downside journey as the stronger-than-anticipated United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) reports have dismantled the expectations of a pause in the interest rate escalation by the Federal Reserve (Fed) after reaching 4.50-4.75%. The street considered that a meaningful declining trend in the inflationary pressures is sufficient to pause interest rate hiking for a period of time to assess the impact of policy tightening till done.

S&P500 witnessed a massive sell-off a gigantic jump in the additions to the US labor force might force a rebound in inflation projections, portraying a risk-aversion theme. Three-day winning spree in the 500-stock basket terminated on expectations that further increases in interest rates would deepen recession fears ahead. The US Dollar Index (DXY) displayed a juggernaut rally to near 102.60 and is expected to continue its upside journey as mammoth employment generation has cleared that battle against inflation is far from over.

A significant jump in the US employment numbers weakened the demand for US government bonds, which led to a jump in the 10-year US Treasury yields above 3.51%.

The United States economy has added fresh 517K, extremely higher than the consensus of 185K and the former release of 260K. The Unemployment Rate was trimmed to a multi-decade low of 3.4% lower than the expectations and the prior release of 3.6% and 3.5% respectively. Apart, from that Average Hourly Earnings have dropped to 4.4% from 4.9% released earlier. A decline in earnings data might keep inflation projections in check as lower liquidity with households will not allow them to increase spending.

On the Eurozone front, investors are keeping an eye on Retail Sales data, which is scheduled for Monday. The contraction in the economic data is expected to trim to 2.7% from the prior contraction of 2.8%. A spree of contraction in consumer spending might trim projections for the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which will delight the European Central Bank (ECB) ahead.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0793
Today Daily Change0.0000
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open1.0793
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0842
Daily SMA501.0677
Daily SMA1001.032
Daily SMA2001.0319
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.094
Previous Daily Low1.0793
Previous Weekly High1.1033
Previous Weekly Low1.0793
Previous Monthly High1.093
Previous Monthly Low1.0483
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0849
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0884
Daily Pivot Point S11.0744
Daily Pivot Point S21.0695
Daily Pivot Point S31.0597
Daily Pivot Point R11.0891
Daily Pivot Point R21.0989
Daily Pivot Point R31.1038

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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