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EUR/USD remains under selling pressure near 1.0650, investors await Eurozone, US PMI

  • EUR/USD extends its downside around the mid-1.0600s on Friday.
  • European Central Bank policymaker said inflation over 2% is costly to the economy and the ECB aims to manage it.
  • US interest rate is anticipated to rise one more time this year.
  • Market players await the Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) data from the Eurozone and the US.

The EUR/USD pair remains under selling pressure and trades in negative territory for the fourth straight day during the early European session on Friday. The major pair currently trades near 1.0653, losing 0.06% on the day.

European Central Bank (ECB) Chief Economist Phillip Lane said on early Friday that inflation above 2% is costly for the economy and that central banks attempt to control inflation over the medium term. On Thursday, German Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel stated that the inflation rate in the eurozone is not approaching 2% at the desired rate and core inflation remains stubbornly high and is expected to fall only gradually.

ECB is expected to end its hiking cycle and will stay on hold until at least July next year, according to economists in a Reuters poll. It's worth recalling that the ECB raised its key interest rate to a record high of 4% on September 14. This, in turn, might drag the Euro lower against the Greenback.

Across the pond, the Fed decided to hold interest rates unchanged at the 5.25-5.50% range on Wednesday’s meeting, as widely anticipated in the market. According to the Fed's most recent quarterly predictions, the benchmark overnight interest rate may be hiked one more time this year to a peak range of 5.50% to 5.75%, and rates could be significantly tighter through 2024 than previously anticipated. This, in turn, boosts the Greenback and acts as a headwind for the EUR/USD pair.

About the data on Thursday, the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 201,000, the lowest level since January. Meanwhile, the Philly Fed declined to -13.5 in September from 12.0 in the previous reading, below the market expectation of -0.7. Existing Home Sales fell to 4.04M MoM in August from the previous reading of 4.07M.

Looking ahead, the Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) will be released from both the Eurozone and the US docket for this Friday. The preliminary Eurozone Composite PMI is expected to drop from 46.7 to 46.5 in September, while the preliminary PMI for the US is expected to rise slightly. Traders will take cues from these figures and find trading opportunities around the EUR/USD pair.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0654
Today Daily Change-0.0006
Today Daily Change %-0.06
Today daily open1.066
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0745
Daily SMA501.0897
Daily SMA1001.0881
Daily SMA2001.083
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0674
Previous Daily Low1.0617
Previous Weekly High1.0769
Previous Weekly Low1.0632
Previous Monthly High1.1065
Previous Monthly Low1.0766
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0639
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0652
Daily Pivot Point S11.0627
Daily Pivot Point S21.0594
Daily Pivot Point S31.057
Daily Pivot Point R11.0683
Daily Pivot Point R21.0707
Daily Pivot Point R31.074

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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