EUR/USD remains stuck in a narrowing price range after Fed


  • EUR/USD has charted a narrowing price over the last four trading days. 
  • The Fed delivered a hawkish hike on Monday, boosting prospects of a downside move in the EUR. 

EUR/USD's struggle for strong directional bias continues after hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut. 

The currency pair has been restricted to a narrowing price range (lower highs, higher lows) since Sept. 12, as seen in the 4-hour chart

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the second straight meeting, however, officials were split on the need for further easing with five seeing no change in rates by the end of the year, five wanting one more cut and seven expecting two cuts, according to Bloomberg. 

Hence, most observers believe the Fed may be done cutting rates for now. The market, therefore, may price out expectations for a rate cut in December, possibly keeping the American Dollar better bid in the short-term, especially against the EUR, as the European Central Bank (ECB) recently adopted a strong dovish bias. 

So, the risks in EUR/USD looks skewed to the downside. The Eurozone data docket is light with Current Account s.a (Jul) scheduled for release at 08:00 GMT. The EUR pairs, however, are unlikely to see big moves on that day and may take cues from comments by ECB's Coeure and Lautenschlager. 

Also, the Bank of England's rate decision and the resulting action in EUR/GBP, if any, could influence EUR/USD. 

As of writing, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1038, representing little change on the day. 

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.1038
Today Daily Change 0.0007
Today Daily Change % 0.06
Today daily open 1.1029
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.1047
Daily SMA50 1.1119
Daily SMA100 1.118
Daily SMA200 1.1256
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.1075
Previous Daily Low 1.1014
Previous Weekly High 1.111
Previous Weekly Low 1.0927
Previous Monthly High 1.1251
Previous Monthly Low 1.0962
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.1037
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1051
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1004
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0978
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0943
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1065
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.11
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1126

 

 

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