|

EUR/USD: Range-bound movements on the day – OCBC

Euro (EUR) was little changed, last at 1.1415 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Room for Fed to resume easing cycle in due course

"Daily momentum is not showing a clear bias for now while RSI fell. Support at 1310 (21 DMA), 1.1235 (23.6% fibo retracement of 2025 low to high). Immediate resistance at 1.1420/30 levels before 1.15 levels."

"Last week ECB lowered rate by 25bps, as widely anticipated. But more importantly, Lagarde commented that the ECB is getting to the end of a monetary cycle 'that was responding to compounded shocks, including COVID, the illegitimate war in Ukraine and the energy crisis'. She also said that the ECB is now 'in a good position' to deal with uncertainties ahead, not least due to US trade policies."

"Other ECB officials have also echoed similar views. Vujcic said that the ECB is nearly done while Stournaras said that the bar for more rate cuts is high. Our house view looks for 1 more cut this year, but this is already more than priced in. ECB signalling an 'end is near' reinforced our earlier view that prospects of ECB cut cycle nearing its end and room for Fed to resume easing cycle in due course should see yield differentials narrow in favour of EUR."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.