|

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Tests nine-day EMA barrier near 1.1650

  • EUR/USD could fall toward the seven-week low at 1.1589.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index, at 44, signals fading momentum.
  • The immediate resistance lies at the nine-day EMA of 1.1645.

EUR/USD moves little after registering modest gains in the previous session, trading around 1.1640 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator, at 44 (neutral-to-bearish), confirms fading momentum.

The technical analysis of the daily chart shows that the EUR/USD pair remains below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and slips under the nine-day EMA, preserving a bearish bias. The short-term average stands beneath the medium-term gauge, reinforcing downside pressure.

Below the nine-day EMA and 50-day EMA, rallies would remain capped, and a close under the seven-week low at 1.1589, set on December 1, would open the door to the next support around 1.1468, the lowest since August 2025.

A recovery through the nine-day EMA at 1.1645 would ease pressure and set a path toward the 50-day EMA at 1.1670. The 50-EMA’s gentle downturn suggests sellers retain control, though a base above the medium-term average would shift the bias back to balance and support the EUR/USD pair to explore the region around the three-month high of 1.1808, which was recorded on December 24, followed by the 1.1918, the highest level since June 2021.

EUR/USD: Daily Chart

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the British Pound.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.00%0.02%-0.05%0.02%0.00%-0.33%-0.03%
EUR-0.00%0.03%-0.07%0.02%0.00%-0.33%-0.00%
GBP-0.02%-0.03%-0.06%0.00%-0.01%-0.34%-0.05%
JPY0.05%0.07%0.06%0.08%0.06%-0.28%0.03%
CAD-0.02%-0.02%-0.00%-0.08%-0.01%-0.35%-0.04%
AUD-0.01%-0.01%0.01%-0.06%0.01%-0.33%-0.01%
NZD0.33%0.33%0.34%0.28%0.35%0.33%0.29%
CHF0.03%0.00%0.05%-0.03%0.04%0.01%-0.29%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers strength to near 1.1550 ahead of ECB rate decision

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory near 1.1540 during the early Asian trading hours. Rising bets that the European Central Bank will deliver a rate hike at its June policy meeting later on Thursday underpin the Euro against the Greenback.

GBP/USD nudges higher above 1.3350 despite rising Fed hike bets

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3385 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. However, the potential upside might be limited amid rising expectations for higher-for-longer US interest rates. Markets might turn cautious later in the day ahead of the US Producer Price Index report.

Gold steadies above YTD low on softer USD; bearish bias remains amid Fed hike bets

Gold fades a modest Asian session bounce to the $4,118 region, though it manages to hold above the lowest level since November 2025. A softer Core US Consumer Price Index eased concerns about a runaway inflation spiral, weighing on the US Dollar and prompting some intraday short-covering around the precious metal.

Crypto Overview: Bitcoin consolidates above $60,000  – CRV, WLFI, XMR lead gains

The broader cryptocurrency market maintains risk-off sentiment as Bitcoin lingers above $62,000 at press time on Thursday. The mild recovery in BTC fails to lift the Fear and Greed Index, which at 15 continues to signal extreme fear among investors. Still, certain altcoins, Curve DAO, World Liberty Financial, and Monero, have emerged as top performers over the last 24 hours.

From sizzle to fizzle: Tech sinks as Oil puts the Fed tail back on the table
Wall Street was not hit by one punch. It was caught between three swinging doors at the same time: a renewed technology unwind, a fresh geopolitical oil bid, and a wave of equity supply that is starting to look less like capital formation and more like a liquidity test for the entire AI complex.
The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.