|

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Hovers near 1.0500 post-ECB’s rate cut

  • EUR/USD remains tethered to the 1.0500 mark, rebounding slightly to 1.0498 after testing weekly lows.
  • Technical analysis shows the pair is in a delicate balance, with potential to challenge resistance if it sustains above 1.0500.
  • Key resistances are set at 1.0530 and 1.0600, while supports loom near 1.0452 and the YTD low of 1.0331.

The EUR/USD remains reluctant to remain far from the 1.0500 figure for the fifth consecutive day, even though the ECB decided to cut rates on Thursday, which pushed the pair toward its weekly low of 1.0452. Nevertheless, buyers stepped in and lifted the exchange rate toward the current level of 1.0498.

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The EUR/USD daily chart suggests the pair hovers near 1.0500, unable to edge lower decisively and retest year-to-date (YTD) low figures at 1.0331. Even though the pair is carving successive series of lower and lower highs, it might be difficult to extend its downtrend.

Momentum, as measured by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggests that buyers gain steam. If they achieve a daily close above 1.0500, this can give them a leg-up.

In that outcome, EUR/USD’s key resistance levels lie at the December 12 high of 1.0530, followed by 1.0600 and last week's peak of 1.0629.

On the other hand, if EUR/USD remains below 1.0500, the major could extend its losses, past 1.0452. A breach of the latter will expose the November 26 low of 1.0424, followed by the November 22 swing low of 1.0331.

EUR/USD Price Chart – Daily

Euro PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.28%0.41%0.68%0.02%0.11%0.13%0.05%
EUR0.28% 0.69%0.97%0.30%0.40%0.41%0.33%
GBP-0.41%-0.69% 0.27%-0.38%-0.30%-0.28%-0.36%
JPY-0.68%-0.97%-0.27% -0.64%-0.57%-0.55%-0.62%
CAD-0.02%-0.30%0.38%0.64% 0.08%0.11%0.03%
AUD-0.11%-0.40%0.30%0.57%-0.08% 0.02%-0.06%
NZD-0.13%-0.41%0.28%0.55%-0.11%-0.02% -0.08%
CHF-0.05%-0.33%0.36%0.62%-0.03%0.06%0.08% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 due to cautious trade before FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD holds ground after four days of little losses, trading around 1.1770 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair remains steady as US Dollar moves little amid market caution ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee December Meeting Minutes due later in the day, which could offer insights into the Federal Reserve’s 2026 outlook.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold rises on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven flows

Gold price edges higher above $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was gold's largest single-day loss since October.  Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Solana risks correction within descending wedge as bearish bets rise

Solana hovers above $120 at press time on Tuesday after a nearly 2% decline on Monday. The SOL-focused Exchange Traded Funds see renewed interest after recording their lowest weekly inflow last week.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).