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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Probing key Fibonacci retracement hurdle

  • EUR/USD has retraced 38.2% of the pullback from early January highs. 
  • The pair has trapped in a narrowing price range.

EUR/USD is trading around 1.2166, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the decline from 1.2349 to 1.2049. 

The pair has carved out a pennant pattern on the hourly chart. A breakout would validate the bullish crossover of the 50- and 200-hour Simple Moving Averages (SMA) and signal a continuation of the rally from 1.2077, opening the doors for 1.2223 (Jan. 29 high). 

Alternatively, a pennant breakdown would shift risk in favor of a drop to support at 1.2120. 

Hourly chart

Trend: Bullish

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2171
Today Daily Change0.0003
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.2168
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2198
Daily SMA501.2113
Daily SMA1001.1942
Daily SMA2001.1641
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.219
Previous Daily Low1.2152
Previous Weekly High1.219
Previous Weekly Low1.2054
Previous Monthly High1.231
Previous Monthly Low1.1924
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2166
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2175
Daily Pivot Point S11.215
Daily Pivot Point S21.2132
Daily Pivot Point S31.2112
Daily Pivot Point R11.2188
Daily Pivot Point R21.2208
Daily Pivot Point R31.2226

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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