|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Pair remains under 20-day SMA, retreated towars 1.0370

  • EUR/USD inches lower to 1.0370 on Tuesday after repeated rejections at the 20-day SMA.
  • The RSI rises to 45, suggesting improving momentum but still hinting at a cautious outlook.
  • MACD shows flat green bars, indicating easing bearish pressure yet no clear bullish shift.

EUR/USD managed to climb towards the 1.0370-1.0390 area at the begging of the year, continuing its fragile attempt to recover from recent losses. Despite this uptick, the pair has repeatedly struggled to decisively break above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) since the start of 2025, reinforcing the notion that sellers may still dictate the short-term direction.

Technical readings are mixed. While the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has lately improved to 45 suggesting a modest pickup in buying interest but it remains in negative territory, indicating that buyers are not yet fully in control. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram prints flat green bars, implying that bearish momentum is easing but hasn’t given way to a sustained bullish push.

Looking ahead, a solid move above the 20-day SMA would be necessary to establish a more convincing recovery and open the door for further gains. Absent that, the pair remains vulnerable to renewed selling pressure, keeping its recent bounce on cautious footing.

EUR/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.