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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Falls toward 1.0200 near 27-month lows

  • EUR/USD struggles as it is confined within a descending channel pattern.
  • The 14-day RSI drops near the 30 level, indicating persistent selling pressure on the pair.
  • The primary support appears at 1.0177, a 27-month low reached on January 14.

The EUR/USD pair continues its downward trend, which started on January 27, trading around 1.0230 during the Asian session on Monday. A closer examination of the daily chart indicates that the bearish momentum is likely to persist, with the pair confined within a descending channel pattern.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), a key indicator of momentum, is falling towards the 30 level, suggesting ongoing selling pressure on the EUR/USD pair. Furthermore, the pair remains below both the nine- and 14-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), signaling weaker short-term momentum and reinforcing the bearish outlook.

The EUR/USD pair is likely to test its primary support at 1.0177, a 27-month low reached on January 14. A break below this level could push the pair towards the psychological support at 1.0000, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel. A decisive move below this point could intensify the bearish sentiment, potentially driving the pair down to 0.9730, the lowest level since November 2022.

On the upside, the EUR/USD pair could face initial resistance at the nine-day EMA around 1.0369. A breakout above this level could improve market sentiment, paving the way for a move toward the upper boundary of the descending channel at 1.0500. Further gains may bring the pair to the three-month high of 1.0630, reached on December 6.

EUR/USD: Daily Chart

Euro PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the weakest against the US Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 1.25%1.06%0.40%0.31%1.49%0.92%0.05%
EUR-1.25% 0.21%0.46%0.37%0.70%0.97%0.10%
GBP-1.06%-0.21% -0.84%0.16%0.50%0.76%-0.10%
JPY-0.40%-0.46%0.84% -0.09%1.24%1.42%0.29%
CAD-0.31%-0.37%-0.16%0.09% 0.07%0.60%-0.26%
AUD-1.49%-0.70%-0.50%-1.24%-0.07% 0.27%-0.59%
NZD-0.92%-0.97%-0.76%-1.42%-0.60%-0.27% -0.86%
CHF-0.05%-0.10%0.10%-0.29%0.26%0.59%0.86% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Falls toward 1.0200 near 27-month lows