|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Euro struggles to defend corrective bounce off 1.0700

  • EUR/USD fades the week-start rebound amid sluggish oscillators.
  • Failure to cross the key upside hurdles during previous week’s recovery lures Euro sellers.
  • One-week-old ascending support line, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement limit short-term downside.

EUR/USD retreats towards 1.0700 amid the early hours of Tuesday’s Asian session after a volatile day. That said, the Euro pair initially cheered the downbeat US data before paring the gains and closing the day around the week-start levels.

That said, the major currency pair’s latest pullback could be linked to the sluggish RSI (14) line surrounding the 50.0 levels suggesting the continuation of a lower grind. On the same line could be the MACD signals which are bearish but losing the momentum strength of late.

As a result, the EUR/USD pair’s slow grind toward the south can’t be ruled out, which in turn highlights a one-week-old rising support line, close to 1.0675 at the latest, as immediate support to watch for the Euro sellers.

Following that, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s March-April rise, near 1.0635, will gain the EUR/USD bear’s attention.

Although the likely oversold RSI around 1.0635 will prod the Euro sellers around then, any further downside could make the pair traders vulnerable to refreshing the yearly low of around 1.0480.

Alternatively, a fortnight-long descending resistance line precedes the 100-SMA level, respectively near 1.0760 and 1.0770, limiting the short-term downside of the EUR/USD pair.

In a case where the Euro buyers remain in the driver’s seat past 1.0770, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the quote’s aforementioned upside, near 1.0805, will be in the spotlight.

EUR/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional impotant levels

Overview
Today last price1.0711
Today Daily Change0.0003
Today Daily Change %0.03%
Today daily open1.0708
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0813
Daily SMA501.0897
Daily SMA1001.0813
Daily SMA2001.0502
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0779
Previous Daily Low1.0705
Previous Weekly High1.0779
Previous Weekly Low1.0635
Previous Monthly High1.1092
Previous Monthly Low1.0635
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0733
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0751
Daily Pivot Point S11.0682
Daily Pivot Point S21.0657
Daily Pivot Point S31.0609
Daily Pivot Point R11.0756
Daily Pivot Point R21.0804
Daily Pivot Point R31.083

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases from around 1.1800 after US GDP figures

The US Dollar is finding some near-term demand after the release of the US Q3 GDP. According to the report, the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.3% in the three months to September, well above the 3.3% forecast by market analysts.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD retreats from session highs and trades slightly below 1.3500 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar stages a rebound following the better-than-expected Q3 growth data, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the Christmas break.

Gold: Record rally sustains above $4,500 on safe-haven flows

Gold sustains the record-setting rally above $4,500 in the Asian session on Wednesday. The Israel-Iran conflict and the escalating US-Venezuela tensions boost safe-haven flows into Gold. Furthermore, US Q3 GDP data fails to lift the US Dollar amid growing bets for two Fed rate cuts in 2026, underpinning the non-yielding bullion. 

The crypto market is preparing us for a deeper global sell-off

The crypto market capitalisation fell by 1.4% to $2.97T, falling below the $3T mark once again. The market was unable to repeat the robust rebound from the local bottom, as it did after 23 November and 2 December, indicating increased pressure from sellers.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.