|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Euro struggles to defend corrective bounce off 1.0700

  • EUR/USD fades the week-start rebound amid sluggish oscillators.
  • Failure to cross the key upside hurdles during previous week’s recovery lures Euro sellers.
  • One-week-old ascending support line, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement limit short-term downside.

EUR/USD retreats towards 1.0700 amid the early hours of Tuesday’s Asian session after a volatile day. That said, the Euro pair initially cheered the downbeat US data before paring the gains and closing the day around the week-start levels.

That said, the major currency pair’s latest pullback could be linked to the sluggish RSI (14) line surrounding the 50.0 levels suggesting the continuation of a lower grind. On the same line could be the MACD signals which are bearish but losing the momentum strength of late.

As a result, the EUR/USD pair’s slow grind toward the south can’t be ruled out, which in turn highlights a one-week-old rising support line, close to 1.0675 at the latest, as immediate support to watch for the Euro sellers.

Following that, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s March-April rise, near 1.0635, will gain the EUR/USD bear’s attention.

Although the likely oversold RSI around 1.0635 will prod the Euro sellers around then, any further downside could make the pair traders vulnerable to refreshing the yearly low of around 1.0480.

Alternatively, a fortnight-long descending resistance line precedes the 100-SMA level, respectively near 1.0760 and 1.0770, limiting the short-term downside of the EUR/USD pair.

In a case where the Euro buyers remain in the driver’s seat past 1.0770, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the quote’s aforementioned upside, near 1.0805, will be in the spotlight.

EUR/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional impotant levels

Overview
Today last price1.0711
Today Daily Change0.0003
Today Daily Change %0.03%
Today daily open1.0708
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0813
Daily SMA501.0897
Daily SMA1001.0813
Daily SMA2001.0502
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0779
Previous Daily Low1.0705
Previous Weekly High1.0779
Previous Weekly Low1.0635
Previous Monthly High1.1092
Previous Monthly Low1.0635
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0733
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0751
Daily Pivot Point S11.0682
Daily Pivot Point S21.0657
Daily Pivot Point S31.0609
Daily Pivot Point R11.0756
Daily Pivot Point R21.0804
Daily Pivot Point R31.083

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD trims gains, back to around 1.3500

GBP/USD now surrenders part of the earlier move to multi-week peaks around 1.3530 and comes close to the 1.3500 support on Monday. Cable’s uptick comes in tandem with decent gains in the Greenback, always amid persistent uncertainty lingering over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and US-Iran talks.

EUR/USD deflates to 1.1540

EUR/USD begins the week on the back foot, retesting the 1.1540 zone as the NA session draws to a close. The better tone in the US Dollar weighs on the risk complex, sparking the daily correction in spot, always on the back of unabated effervescence in the Middle East.

Gold clings to daily gains; focus is back to $4,400

Gold picks up pace and advances past the $4,350 mark per troy ounce, adding to Friday’s gains. That said, the yellow metal keeps pushing harder despite the better tone in the US Dollar, and is closely following the Fed’s interest-rate outlook as well as developments in the Middle East

Bitcoin vs Gold Overview: XAU tests breakout, BTC slides as Trump claims Iran negotiations
The cryptocurrency market shows signs of trimming gains accrued last week as Bitcoin (BTC) slides below $65,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Meanwhile, Gold (XAU/USD) maintains a bullish outlook, hovering above $4,350.
US Payrolls miss – RBA on deck tomorrow
It would be remiss of me not to kick off this morning’s report with a rundown of last Friday’s US jobs report, which was a belter. Headline payrolls fell by 23,000, versus expectations of an 80,000 gain. The BLS noted that May was revised down by 66,000 (from 129,000) and June by 37,000 (from 57,000), resulting in combined May-June revisions of 103,000 lower than previous reports.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.