|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Euro steadies near 1.1300 as mixed signals limit momentum

  • EUR/USD trades near the 1.1300 zone after modest losses in Thursday’s post-European session.
  • Neutral momentum persists as mixed short-term indicators cloud the near-term outlook.
  • Key support levels hold below, while resistance aligns just above the current range.

The EUR/USD pair holds steady around the 1.1300 area on Thursday, maintaining a neutral tone after the European session. Price action remains confined within the day’s range, reflecting a cautious market stance as traders assess the broader trend. Despite holding above critical long-term support, short-term signals are mixed, adding to the near-term uncertainty.

From a technical perspective, the pair is displaying neutral momentum overall. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is balanced near 54, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), however, continues to flash a sell signal, hinting at potential downside pressure in the short term. The Stochastic RSI Fast and Commodity Channel Index are both neutral, reinforcing the lack of strong directional bias at present.

Longer-term support comes from the 100-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages, which remain well below current levels and maintain a bullish slope. In contrast, the 20-day SMA sits above the market, signaling near-term resistance and acting as a cap for further upside. The Ichimoku Base Line also remains neutral, reflecting the broader indecision in the pair’s technical structure.

Support is identified at 1.1280, 1.1213, and 1.1209. Resistance levels are found at 1.1312, 1.1321, and 1.1334. A sustained move above the immediate resistance zone could confirm a short-term recovery, while a break below support may signal a deeper correction in the coming sessions.

Daily Chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).