EUR/USD Price Analysis: Euro retreats from 1.0925 as Fed vs ECB battle heats up

EUR/USD takes offers to refresh intraday low, down for the third consecutive day.
ECB policymakers keep suggesting further rate hikes and so do Fed clues.
RSI conditions suggest bottom-picking, multiple supports challenge Euro bears.
Bulls remain cautious below 1.1100 while 1.0970 guards immediate recovery.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

EUR/USD drops for the third consecutive day amid early Tuesday morning in Europe, refreshing intraday low near 1.0920 by the press time. In doing so, the Euro pair justifies the failure to cross the 1.0970-60 area in the last week, as well as a three-day-old falling resistance line.

That said, the Euro pair fails to justify hawkish signals from the European Central Bank (ECB) Officials amid the Federal Reserve (Fed) updates which have been suggesting higher rates of late.

Also read: EUR/USD prods bears above 1.0900 as ECB hawks gain more acceptance than the Fed ones

It’s worth noting that the multiple tops marked around 1.1100 in April and May also highlight the Euro pair’s inability to defend the bullish bias. However, the below 50 conditions of the RSI (14) line challenge the EUR/USD bears.

The same highlights descending support line from Friday, around 1.0900 as an immediate key level to watch for the Euro bears.

Following that, a convergence of the 100-Hour Moving Average (HMA) and a one-week-old ascending trend line, near 1.0890, will challenge the EUR/USD bears.

It’s worth noting that, an upward-sloping support line from June 07, close to 1.0850 at the latest, acts as the last defense of the EUR/USD buyers, a break of which will confirm the short-term bearish trend of the major currency pair.

On the contrary, a downward-sloping resistance line from Friday, near 1.0920 precedes the latest peak of 1.0970 to restrict the immediate EUR/USD upside.

However, a clear break of the 1.0970 won’t hesitate to challenge the 1.1000 psychological magnet and then aim for the yearly highs marked near the 1.1100 zone.

EUR/USD: Hourly chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	1.092
Today Daily Change	-0.0002
Today Daily Change %	-0.02%
Today daily open	1.0922

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.077
Daily SMA50	1.088
Daily SMA100	1.0808
Daily SMA200	1.0546

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.0946
Previous Daily Low	1.0907
Previous Weekly High	1.0971
Previous Weekly Low	1.0733
Previous Monthly High	1.1092
Previous Monthly Low	1.0635
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.0922
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.0931
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.0904
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.0886
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.0865
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.0943
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.0964
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.0982

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

EUR/USD slumps below 1.1800 on hawkish Fed Minutes, eyes on ECB succession

The EUR/USD pair tumbles to a near two-week low around 1.1785 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar strengthens against the Euro on hawkish FOMC minutes that revived speculation about potential interest rate hikes if inflation remains elevated.

GBP/USD extends decline as weak jobs data bolsters BoE rate cut bets

The Pound Sterling continued to backslide under sustained pressure on Wednesday, following through after the UK employment report on Tuesday showed a labour market deteriorating faster than expected.

Gold consolidates the rebound below $5,000, US data eyed

Gold price consolidates the previous rebound below $5,000 in the Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal recovered on Wednesday amid shifts in geopolitical sentiment, boosting safe-haven demand. Traders will keep an eye on the release of US Initial Jobless Claims, Pending Home Sales data, and the Fedspeak later on Thursday.

Bitcoin approaches a critical zone: Bear pennant projects $56,000

Based on the most recent analyses from February 2026, the short answer is that it is highly unlikely that Bitcoin will reach $100,000 this month.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.