|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Euro retreats from 1.0925 as Fed vs ECB battle heats up

  • EUR/USD takes offers to refresh intraday low, down for the third consecutive day.
  • ECB policymakers keep suggesting further rate hikes and so do Fed clues.
  • RSI conditions suggest bottom-picking, multiple supports challenge Euro bears.
  • Bulls remain cautious below 1.1100 while 1.0970 guards immediate recovery.

EUR/USD drops for the third consecutive day amid early Tuesday morning in Europe, refreshing intraday low near 1.0920 by the press time. In doing so, the Euro pair justifies the failure to cross the 1.0970-60 area in the last week, as well as a three-day-old falling resistance line.

That said, the Euro pair fails to justify hawkish signals from the European Central Bank (ECB) Officials amid the Federal Reserve (Fed) updates which have been suggesting higher rates of late.

Also read: EUR/USD prods bears above 1.0900 as ECB hawks gain more acceptance than the Fed ones

It’s worth noting that the multiple tops marked around 1.1100 in April and May also highlight the Euro pair’s inability to defend the bullish bias. However, the below 50 conditions of the RSI (14) line challenge the EUR/USD bears.

The same highlights descending support line from Friday, around 1.0900 as an immediate key level to watch for the Euro bears.

Following that, a convergence of the 100-Hour Moving Average (HMA) and a one-week-old ascending trend line, near 1.0890, will challenge the EUR/USD bears.

It’s worth noting that, an upward-sloping support line from June 07, close to 1.0850 at the latest, acts as the last defense of the EUR/USD buyers, a break of which will confirm the short-term bearish trend of the major currency pair.

On the contrary, a downward-sloping resistance line from Friday, near 1.0920 precedes the latest peak of 1.0970 to restrict the immediate EUR/USD upside.

However, a clear break of the 1.0970 won’t hesitate to challenge the 1.1000 psychological magnet and then aim for the yearly highs marked near the 1.1100 zone.

EUR/USD: Hourly chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.092
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.02%
Today daily open1.0922
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.077
Daily SMA501.088
Daily SMA1001.0808
Daily SMA2001.0546
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0946
Previous Daily Low1.0907
Previous Weekly High1.0971
Previous Weekly Low1.0733
Previous Monthly High1.1092
Previous Monthly Low1.0635
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0922
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0931
Daily Pivot Point S11.0904
Daily Pivot Point S21.0886
Daily Pivot Point S31.0865
Daily Pivot Point R11.0943
Daily Pivot Point R21.0964
Daily Pivot Point R31.0982

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.