|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bulls regain control, breaking key resistance levels

  • EUR/USD surged at the start of the week, posting strong gains and reclaiming higher ground.
  • The pair soared past the convergence of the 20-day and 100-day SMA, signaling renewed bullish momentum.
  • Resistance is now seen at 1.0520, while support lies at 1.0450, with indicators suggesting further upside potential.

EUR/USD kicked off the week with a solid rally rising past 1.0450, climbing above key technical levels and suggesting that buyers are regaining momentum. The pair decisively broke through the confluence of the 20-day and 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA), reinforcing a shift in sentiment. This move comes after last week's struggle around these levels, where sellers had temporarily kept the pair in check.

Technical indicators reflect this resurgence. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is rising sharply in positive territory, confirming an increase in buying pressure. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram shows decreasing red bars, hinting that while bullish momentum is strengthening, some consolidation could still take place before another push higher.

Looking ahead, immediate resistance is now located at 1.0520, a level that, if breached, could accelerate gains toward 1.0560. On the downside, support is found at 1.0450, which coincides with the recently broken moving averages. A drop below this level would weaken the bullish outlook and bring 1.0400 into focus.

EUR/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD defends 1.3300 after strong UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD is defending its renewed uptick above 1.3300 in the European session on Friday, helped by stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data for June. The pair snaps a five-day losing streak but the upside potential could be limited amid heightened military tensions in the Middle East.


EUR/USD rises to 1.1400 after strong German PMI data

EUR/USD is catching a fresh bid and retakes 1.1400 in European trading on Friday. The pair gains ground after Germany's preliminary HCOB Manufacturing PMI beat estimates with 52.2 in July, lifting the Euro. However, further upside could be limited by escalating conflicts in the Middle East, despite the ECB's hawkish hold decision.

Gold sticks to intraday losses below $4,050 amid Fed hike bets, bullish USD

Gold remains under some selling pressure for the second straight day, and weakens further below the $4,050 level during the Asian session. Escalating US-Iran tensions support elevated crude oil prices, fueling inflation fears and bolstering expectations of higher-for-longer US interest rates. This helps the US Dollar preserve its strong weekly gains to a nearly one-month high, touched on Thursday, and turns out to be a key factor undermining the non-yielding bullion.

Ethereum: Derivatives interest in ETH improves, but signs of caution remain

Ethereum is hovering slightly below the $1,900 level, down 3% on Thursday following a slight expansion in derivatives interest. The top altcoin's open interest has increased to 14.60 million ETH, marking a 600K ETH increase over the past two days and its highest level since June 7.

Crypto Market Overview: Bitcoin tests 50-day EMA support – Pi Network and Sky lead losses

The broader cryptocurrency market faces headwinds with rising tensions between the US and Iran, pushing Bitcoin down to its 50-day Exponential Moving Average support around $65,135 on Friday. Under pressure, Pi Network and Sky emerge as the worst-performing crypto assets over the last 24 hours.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.