|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bulls and bears battle it out at critical structures

  • EUR/USD bulls attempting to make a break for it 
  • US dollar bears are pressing the bulls back below key trendline support. 

EUR/USD has been drifting to the upside as the US dollar tails off below micro daily trendline support as the following will illustrate. DXY has been pressured to below 111.50 but the pace of losses is slow and bulls are in play at times of bearish pressure. It's early days in what will be a busy week and coiled markets have a tendency to break out which could be on the cards for the week ahead. 

The downside channel is dominant but there are risks of the price moving out of it to the topside. 

The market is coiled and pressing against key resistance. If this holds, the downside will be in play, however. 

For now, so long as the greenback remains supported at the trendline support, there will be risks of a significant move in the euro on a break of trendline support. 

DXY technical analysis

The bull flag and combination with the rising trendline and W-formation make for a solid thesis for the upside. However, there are risks of a downside breakout with 111.00 vulnerable. Such a move will see the euro take off.

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).