|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bears licking their lips as bulls face wall of resistance

  • EUR/USD bulls are in the market but face a wall of resistance.
  • EUR/USD bears eye the 4-hour W-formation and a move into test key support.

EUR/USD traded higher Friday as the US Dollar bears pounced on data that inflation showed further signs of cooling in June according to Personal Consumption Expenditure data. However, the DXY was still set for the second straight week of gains, underpinned by stronger-than-expected US economic data.

Nevertheless, EUR/USD was headed towards the close on Wall Street higher by some 0.43% after moving up from a low of 1.0943 to score a high of 1.1047 on the day. Technically, though, the rally off the May monthly low appears vulnerable, and unless key US data next week cooperates longs could be in for a squeeze as the following illustrates:

EUR/USD daily chart, bearish

Bulls are in the market within a down channel and front side of the bullish trend. However...

EUR/USD daily chart Fibonacci resistance

We have horizontal resistance and trendline resistance that meet at a key level within the Fibonacci scale. 1.0710 at a 61.8% ratio could be a tough nut to crack. 

EUR/USD H4 chart

Meanwhile, the 4-hour chart's W-formation is troublesome and could be a pull on the price for the near future. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with tops near 1.3470

GBP/USD manages to regain composure and challenge the area of daily highs around 1.3470 on Friday. Cable picks up pace despite marginal gains in the Greenback in a context of swelling geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices.

EUR/USD trims losses, back above 1.1500

EUR/USD picks up some pace and bouces off earlier lows, reclaiming the 1.1500 threshold and beyond at the end of the week. The pair’s modest pullback follows a persistent risk-averse market mood and renewed buying interest for the US Dollar.

Gold: The $4,000 mark holds the downside for now

Gold faces renewed selling pressure, falling sharply toweard the $4,000 mark per troy ounce as the US Dollar regains momentum. Escalating US-Iran tensions are keeping inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes alive, weighing further on the yellow metal.

Bitcoin eyes 50-day EMA breakout, Ethereum consolidates, XRP steadies

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple trade near key technical levels on Friday as the broader cryptocurrency market pauses following last week's recovery. BTC is approaching the 50-day Exponential Moving Average while ETH continues to consolidate between two major EMAs.

Warsh needs to restore his reputation
We were glad to see our deeply negative reaction to the Warsh press conference was not some personal peculiarity. Just about everybody in the financial press felt the same way. The consensus is building it’s not the Fed in the dog-house but only Warsh. Today the WSJ changed it tune and blasted Warsh—"the honeymoon is already over..”
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.