|

Brent: Policy options temper price spike – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan notes that Brent Oil has eased to around US$85/bbl as the US administration considers multiple policy tools to address higher Oil and gasoline prices during the Iran conflict. Potential measures include strategic reserve releases, regulatory waivers and even futures market intervention, leaving global and Asian markets cautious about weekend gap risks.

US policy debate cools Brent prices

"Brent oil prices moderated slightly to US$85/bbl, as reports emerged that the Trump administration is weighing options for addressing the spike in oil and gasoline prices amid the war in Iran, according to US Secretary Doug Burgum."

"The potential policies being considered include releasing crude from the country’s emergency oil reserve potentially in coordination with other nations to maximise effect, waiving fuel-blending requirements and even direct intervention in oil futures markets."

"This comes on top of previously announced plans to provide insurance guarantees and naval escorts to ensure safe passage for oil tankers and other vessels through the Strait of Hormuz."

"In an interesting move as well, the US Treasury just announced waivers for India’s purchase of Russian oil for 30 days until 4 April 2026, in a move that perhaps recognises that one cannot have his cake and eat it too in wars on multiple fronts."

"Overall, it is unclear how much impact this could have from a global perspective, including for our region here in Asia."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.