|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: A potential resistance level is seen at the 1.0790–1.0800 zone

  • EUR/USD holds positive ground around 1.0785 on the softer USD. 
  • The pair maintains the bearish bias below the key 100-period EMA, but RSI indicators return above the 50-midlines. 
  • The key resistance level will emerge at the 1.0790–1.0800 zone; the initial support level is located at 1.0723.

The EUR/USD pair trades on a stronger note near 1.0785 for four straight days during the early European session on Monday. The decline of the US Dollar (USD) provides some support for the major pair. Two European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers said Eurozone inflation is heading back towards the 2% target, but the ECB needs further data to confirm before it can cut rates. Nonetheless, the FOMC Minutes and the Eurozone data, including the PMI and CPI inflation report could offer some hints about the inflationary trajectory. 

From a technical perspective, EUR/USD keeps the bearish vibe unchanged as the major pair is below the key 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on the four-hour chart. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) returns above the 50-midline, hinting that the buyers could retain control in the near term. 

A potential resistance level for the major pair will emerge near the confluence of the 100-period EMA, the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band, and the psychological mark at the 1.0790–1.0800 region. A decisive break above this level will pave the way to a high of January 26 at 1.0885. The additional upside filter to watch is the 1.0900 psychological round mark. 

On the flip side, the initial support level for the EUR/USD pair is seen near a low of February 5 at 1.0723. The key contention level is located near a round figure, a low of February 13, and the lower limit of the Bollinger Band at 1.0700. Any follow-through selling below the latter will see a drop to a low of November 9 at 1.0660.

EUR/USD four-hour chart 

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0784
Today Daily Change0.0008
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open1.0776
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0803
Daily SMA501.089
Daily SMA1001.0797
Daily SMA2001.0828
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0788
Previous Daily Low1.0732
Previous Weekly High1.0806
Previous Weekly Low1.0695
Previous Monthly High1.1046
Previous Monthly Low1.0795
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0766
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0753
Daily Pivot Point S11.0743
Daily Pivot Point S21.071
Daily Pivot Point S31.0688
Daily Pivot Point R11.0799
Daily Pivot Point R21.0821
Daily Pivot Point R31.0854





 

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.