EUR/USD: Nudges higher on the day – Scotiabank

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

The Euro (EUR) has picked up a little support in the low/mid-1.05s following the chop seen around Friday’s US NFP data, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

EUR holds with Friday’s intraday range

“Failure to hold and extend gains above 1.06 likely means a more cautious, range-bound trading environment for the EUR in the short run as attention switches to Thursday’s ECB policy decision and the latest ECB staff forecasts which may shape market expectations about the pace of expected rate easing into 2025.”

“The EUR has attracted firm support through European trade but is only just about finding its way back to the mid-point of the range that developed through Friday’s choppy session. The failed push above 1.06 last week may become a drag on the EUR’s near-term outlook if the market is unable to regain that point quickly. Support is 1.0525. Resistance is 1.06 and 1.0650.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

GBP/USD appears well offered near 1.3160

GBP/USD builds on Tuesday’s losses, although it now manages to pick up some pace and bounce off earlier multi-month troughs near 1.3140. The Greenback’s solid performance and continued political turmoil in the UK are keeping Cable under persistent pressure, with little sign of a meaningful recovery.

EUR/USD rebounds from lows, back to 1.1360

After bottoming out near 1.1320, EUR/USD gathers some traction and reclaims the 1.1350-1.1360 band as the NA session draws to a close on Wednesday. The pair’s drop to multi-month lows comes in response to the continuous leg higher in the US Dollar, which remains propped up by hawkish Fed expectations and uncertainty over the outcome of US-Iran peace negotiations.

Gold pressured near fresh 2026 lows

Gold accelerates its decline and gyrates around the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday, its lowest level since November 2025. In the meantime, tighter-for-longer Fed expectations and a broadly firmer US Dollar continue to weigh on the yellow metal, while uncertainty surrounding a potential US-Iran peace agreement has done little to revive demand for the safe haven space.

XRP nears key support as Fed hike risks suppress demand

Ripple (XRP) continues to face significant selling pressure, trading around $1.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday. This decline mirrors the broader weakness in the crypto market, exacerbated by mounting macroeconomic headwinds and persistent geopolitical uncertainties.

US-Iran talks: The next 60 days will decide where Oil prices go next

Oil markets received some encouraging news after weeks of rising tensions in the Middle East. But let’s not get ahead of ourselves: we’re far from victory, and markets just seem to have priced out the worst-case scenario. The US and Iran have reportedly made "substantive progress" in talks in Switzerland and agreed on a framework for working toward a broader deal within 60 days.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.