|

EUR/USD: Next major support at 1.1490 is likely out of reach for now – UOB Group

Strong momentum suggests Euro (EUR) could break below 1.1540; the next major support at 1.1490 is likely out of reach for now. In the longer run, price action indicates that EUR is likely to break below 1.1540, the next level to watch is at 1.1490, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Price action indicates that EUR is likely to break below 1.1540

24-HOUR VIEW: "Two days ago, EUR dropped sharply to a low of 1.1577. Yesterday, when it was at 1.1605, we pointed out that 'the sharp drop appears to be overdone, and instead of continuing to weaken, EUR is more likely to trade in a range today, expected to be between 1.1575 and 1.1635.' Our assessments were incorrect, as after testing the top of our expected range at 1.1635 (high of 1.1637), EUR plummeted to a low of 1.1546. Strong downward momentum suggests EUR could break below the major support at 1.1540 today. However, oversold conditions suggest the next major support at 1.1490 is likely out of reach for now. Resistance levels are at 1.1590 and 1.1605."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "We highlighted yesterday (30 Oct, spot at 1.1605) that EUR 'is under mild downward pressure, and it may edge lower.' We pointed out that 'given the mild momentum, EUR is unlikely to threaten the support at 1.1540.' We did not expect EUR to drop sharply to a low of 1.1546. The price action indicates that EUR is likely to break below 1.1540. The next level to watch is at 1.1490. Overall, only a breach of 1.1635 (‘strong resistance’ level was at 1.1660 yesterday) would invalidate our current view."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold remains vulnerable, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the fourth consecutive day on Monday, targeting the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran negotiations.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.