|

EUR/USD neutral although a test of lower levels remains on the cards – UOB

The likeliness of further downside in the short-term horizon remains well on the cards, suggested FX Strategists at UOB Group.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “We indicated yesterday that the strong up-move in EUR “has room to move above the overnight high of 1.1615 but a break of last week’s top of 1.1659 is not expected” and added, “1.1640 is already a strong level”. EUR subsequently rose to a high of 1.1643 before easing off quickly. Upward pressure has eased and we view the current movement as part of a consolidation phase. In other words, we expect EUR to trade sideways for today, likely within a 1.1560/1.1630 range”.

Next 1-3 weeks: “EUR tested the top of our expected 1.1470/1.1640 consolidation range yesterday as it touched a high 1.1643. The swift pullback from the high reinforces our current neutral view even though we continue to see chance for EUR to probe the bottom of the expected consolidation range. Overall, the current movement is viewed as part of consolidation phase that could last for another couple more weeks. In other words, we do not expect EUR to embark on a sustained directional move anytime soon”.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD posts modest gains above 1.1700 as ECB signals pause

The EUR/USD pair posts modest gains around 1.1710 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Euro strengthens against the Greenback after the European Central Bank left its policy rates unchanged and took a more positive view on the Eurozone economy, which has shown resilience to global trade shocks. Financial markets are likely to remain subdued as traders book profits ahead of the long holiday period.

GBP/USD gains ground near 1.3400 ahead of UK Q3 GDP data

GBP/USD gains ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.3390 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair depreciates as the Pound Sterling holds ground ahead of the release of the United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product for the third quarter.

Gold refreshes record highs, eyes $4,400 amid renewed geopolitical tensions

Gold is closing in on $4,400 early Monday, renewing lifetime highs, helped by renewed geopolitical tensions. Israel-Iran conflict and US-Venezuela headlines drive investors toward the traditional store of value, Gold. 

Week ahead: Key risks to watch in last days of 2025 and early 2026

The festive period officially starts next week, with many traders vacating their desks until the first full week of January, making way for thin trading volumes and very few top-tier releases.

De-dollarisation by design: Gold’s partner in the new system

You don’t need another 2008 for the system to reset. You just need enough nations to stop settling trade in dollars. And that’s already happening. "If gold is the anchor, what actually moves value in a post-dollar world?” It’s a question most gold investors overlook. We think in terms of storage and preservation, but in the new rails being built, settlement speed matters just as much as soundness of money.

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.