|

EUR/USD looking to recover balance near 1.06 after slipping to 1.0575

  • The EUR/USD skidded to a Monday low of 1.0575 as the Euro slips and the Greenback steps higher.
  • US Dollar Index is broadly higher across the board to kick off the new trading week.
  • ECB's Lagarde pulls the rug out from under the Euro on "further weakness in economic activity.

The EUR/USD fell off of recent action to settle at a fresh six-month low at the 1.0660 handle. Broadbase US Dollar (USD) support is helping to exacerbate Euro (EUR) declines sparked by dovish central bank comments coming out of Europe on Monday.

The European Central Bank's (ECB) President Christine Lagarde hit newswires on Monday, noting lagging job growth, broadly weaker economic activity, and an overall decline in momentum.

Despite recent declines in inflation, the ECB's President Lagarde noted that inflation is expected to remain "too high for too long", but the ECB is evidently unable to do anything to help assuage those forecasts, with an uneven domestic economy for the pan-European region threatening to tip over into recession if the ECB raises rates too much.

Read more: 

Lagarde speech: Recent indicators point to further weakness in third quarter

Lagarde speech: Recession is not part of baseline

Economic Calendar looking thin until Friday's key data drop

The later end of the trading week sees Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for both the EU and the US slated for Friday, but the midweek is a nominally lighter affair.

The US will see Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) figures on Thursday, as well as Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers. Annualized GDP for the US' second quarter is expected to improve from 2.1% to 2.3%.

EUR/USD technical outlook

Intraday action sees the EUR/USD sharply off near-term swing highs near 1.0670, tumbling 0.76% peak-to-trough on Monday.

The Euro slipped to a fresh six-month low  of 1.0575 against the US Dollar, and rebound bids are struggling to regain the 1.06000 handle.

On daily candlesticks, a bearish trend is firmly baked in, with a declining trendline from July's swing high near 1.1200.

The 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is turning bearish just north of 1.0800, and the 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is accelerating into a bearish cross, providing technical resistance from 1.0750.

EUR/USD daily chart

EUR/USD technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0595
Today Daily Change-0.0053
Today Daily Change %-0.50
Today daily open1.0648
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0738
Daily SMA501.0885
Daily SMA1001.0877
Daily SMA2001.083
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0672
Previous Daily Low1.0615
Previous Weekly High1.0737
Previous Weekly Low1.0615
Previous Monthly High1.1065
Previous Monthly Low1.0766
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0637
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.065
Daily Pivot Point S11.0618
Daily Pivot Point S21.0588
Daily Pivot Point S31.0562
Daily Pivot Point R11.0675
Daily Pivot Point R21.0702
Daily Pivot Point R31.0731

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD back to 1.3250, down modestly for the day

GBP/USD now comes under fresh downside pressure and recedes toward the mid-1.3200s on Tuesday, partially reversing the optimism seen at the beginning of the week. Meanwhile, Cable’s bearish tone follows the resumption of the upside traction in the Greenback, always amid the sharp rally in USD/JPY.

EUR/USD looks inconclusive in the low 1.1400s

EUR/USD alternates gains with losses in the 1.1420 region in the latter part of the NA session on turnaround Tuesday. The pair’s vacillating price action comes amid the lack of clear direction in the US Dollar. Meanwhile, market participants are expected to gear up for the upcoming key releases on the US docket and developments from the ECB Forum in Sintra.

Gold clings to daily gains beyond $4,000

Following multi-month lows near $3,950, Gold now manages to regain some composure and reclaim the area beyond the key $4,000 yardstick per troy ounce on Wednesday. Still, any meaningful recovery appears limited as a broadly firmer US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields weigh on the yellow metal.

Coinbase, BlackRock, Visa and Stripe support Open Standard’s OUSD stablecoin
Open Standard on Tuesday unveiled Open USD (OUSD), a dollar-pegged stablecoin designed for global payments, backed by more than 140 companies. The founding coalition spans payment networks, banks, fintech firms, technology platforms and crypto infrastructure providers, including Shopify, Google, Ripple, Solana, Coinbase, Visa, Mastercard, Stripe, BlackRock and BNY.
Why a hawkish Bank of Japan could trigger the next Bitcoin sell-off

The Japanese Yen hits a 40-year low of 162.00 against the US Dollar, raising concerns about intervention or additional rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. BoJ may sell US Treasuries to buy back Yen, potentially pushing US bond yields higher and making Bitcoin less attractive to investors.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The ECB Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Fed, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.