|

EUR/USD: Likely to trade in a range between 1.1590 and 1.16355 – UOB Group

Euro (EUR) is likely to trade in a range between 1.1590 and 1.1635. In the longer run, downward momentum is building; EUR is likely to trade with a downward bias, potentially retesting the 1.1540 level, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Downward momentum is building

24-HOUR VIEW: "EUR dropped to a low of 1.1576 two days ago and then rebounded. Yesterday, we highlighted that 'the rebound from oversold conditions suggests that instead of weakening, EUR is more likely to range-trade today, expected to be between 1.1585 and 1.1625.' Our view of range-trading was not wrong, as EUR traded in a range of 1.1584/1.1620 before closing largely unchanged at 1.1617 (+0.06%). The price movements still appear to be part of a range-trading phase. Today, we expect EUR to trade between 1.1590 and 1.1635."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "On Wednesday (22 Oct, spot at 1.1600), we highlighted that 'downward momentum is building.' We also highlighted that EUR 'is likely to trade with a downward bias, potentially retesting last week’s low of 1.1540.' Since then, EUR has not been able to make much headway on the downside. The buildup in momentum is starting to fade, but only a breach of 1.1640 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level) would indicate that EUR is not ready to head lower toward 1.1540."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD trades  near daily lows on persistent US Dollar strength

GBP/USD lost traction and declined toward 1.3150 following a short-lasting recovery attempt to the 1.3200 region in the early European session. The pair trades near its low early in the American session as US PCE inflation data came in line with expectations.

EUR/USD remains below 1.1350 after US PCE inflation

EUR/USD struggles to stage a rebound and trades in negative territory below 1.1350 on Thursday. The cautious market stance helps the US Dollar hold its ground and weighs on the pair as market participants assess the US PCE inflation report for May.

Gold struggles to stabilize above $4,000

Gold remains on the back foot, trading around $4,000 on Thursday. The commodity sticks to its bearish bias for the third straight day, and remains close to the lowest level since November 2025, touched on Wednesday.

Bitcoin tests $60,000 as whales sell off – Aave and Jupiter show resilience

The broader cryptocurrency market remains under intense selling pressure, with Bitcoin back at $60,000 for the third time this year. On-chain data shows selling pressure from large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales, while total liquidations hit nearly $1 billion in 24 hours.

Bitcoin nears make-or-break level ahead of US PCE data

Bitcoin recovers slightly, trading at $61,700 after reaching a new yearly low of $59,103 and a 21-month low the previous day. This bearish price action is supported by the ongoing institutional sell-off, which recorded an outflow of over $469 million on Wednesday.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.