|

EUR/USD holds below the mid-1.0900s ahead of US PMI, FOMC Minutes

  • EUR/USD edges lower to 1.0941 amid the firm USD. 
  • The US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for December eased to 47.9 vs. 48.2 prior, weaker than expected. 
  • The increased odds of rate cuts from the European Central Bank (ECB) weigh on the Euro. 

The EUR/USD pair remains under pressure during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The downtick of the pair is driven by the stronger US Dollar (USD) broadly. The major pair currently trades around 1.0941, down 0.02% on the day. 

On Tuesday, the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for December eased to 47.9 from the previous reading of 48.2, weaker than the expectation of 48.2. The figure suggested a slowdown in the manufacturing sector. 

The Federal Reserve (Fed) delivered the dovish message at its last meeting of 2023 with the anticipation that the Fed will start easing the cycle with a quarter-point cut in March, followed by similar cuts in May and June. However, market participants will await the highly anticipated US labor data this week for more hints.  

Across the pond, an increased possibility of rate cuts from the European Central Bank (ECB) to boost the economy, while the Fed may hold the rate a little longer, exert some selling pressure on the Euro (EUR), and act as a headwind for EUR/USD. Investors have priced in six rate cuts for 2024 from the ECB. 

On Tuesday, ECB policymaker Pablo Hernandez de Cos said that economic data uncertainty remained high and that the timing of the ECB policy pivot would be determined by data. He also estimated that inflation in the Eurozone will continue to decline.

Traders will keep an eye on the German Unemployment Rate, the December US ISM Manufacturing PMI, November JOLTS Job Openings, and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes, due on Wednesday. The attention will shift to the US labor data on Friday, including US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings, due later on Friday.
 

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.094
Today Daily Change-0.0096
Today Daily Change %-0.87
Today daily open1.1036
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.093
Daily SMA501.0835
Daily SMA1001.076
Daily SMA2001.0845
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1036
Previous Daily Low1.1036
Previous Weekly High1.114
Previous Weekly Low1.1009
Previous Monthly High1.114
Previous Monthly Low1.0724
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1036
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1036
Daily Pivot Point S11.1036
Daily Pivot Point S21.1036
Daily Pivot Point S31.1036
Daily Pivot Point R11.1036
Daily Pivot Point R21.1036
Daily Pivot Point R31.1036

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flies to two-week highs, targets 1.3400

GBP/USD trades well above the 1.3300 barrier on Thursday as the Greenback comes under renewed selling pressure following a softer-than-expected US NFP report in June. Meanwhile, Cable extends its multi-day recovery and looks to challenge 1.3400 sooner rather than later.

EUR/USD: Signs of life emerge above 1.1400

EUR/USD leaves behind two daily pullbacks in a row and advances to multi-day peaks near 1.1470 on Thursday, partially offsetting the sharp decline in place since June. The pair’s decline follows the intense retracement in the US Dollar, which is particularly sponsored by disheartening prints from June’s Payrolls and the sharp sell-off in USD/JPY. The US markets will be closed on Friday due to the Independence Day holiday.

Gold hits six-day tops past $4,100

Gold extends its bullish momentum on Thursday, climbing above the $4,100 mark per troy ounce to reach its highest level in a week. The precious metal’s sharp rebound comes as the US Dollar retreats following disappointing US NFP data.

Strategy's STRC volatility points to late Bitcoin cycle reset — Bitwise
The recent volatility surrounding Strategy's perpetual preferred stock, STRC, could signal that Bitcoin (BTC) is approaching a cycle bottom, according to Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan. In a Wednesday report, Hougan argued that the sharp decline in STRC and Strategy's MSTR stock should be viewed as "classic end-of-cycle dynamics" rather than evidence of a broader structural threat to Bitcoin.
The market may no longer be giving the Magnificent Seven a free pass
For much of the past three years, investing has felt surprisingly simple. Whenever markets stumbled, investors knew where to look. Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta and Tesla repeatedly led Wall Street higher, shrugging off inflation fears, higher interest rates and geopolitical shocks.
Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.