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EUR/USD holds below 1.1000 ahead of US PPI data

  • EUR/USD gains ground near 1.0983 despite the firmer USD. 
  • ECB’s Lagarde said interest rates in the eurozone had reached their peak, but she didn’t provide the timeline for a possible cut to borrowing costs.
  • US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December rose 3.4% YoY vs. 3.1% prior, stronger than expected.
  • The US Producer Price Index (PPI) on Friday will be closely monitored by traders.

The EUR/USD pair holds positive ground despite renewed US dollar (USD) demand during the early Asian session on Friday. The uptick of the major pair is supported by the risk-on environment ahead of the US key data. At press time, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0983, gaining 0.11% on the day.

The Labor Department revealed on Thursday that the US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending January 6 reached the lowest level since mid-October, declining by 1,000 to 202,000 from the previous week's revised reading of 203,000.

Furthermore, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December grew 3.4% YoY from the previous reading of 3.1%, above the market consensus of 3.2%. The Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, climbed 3.9% YoY in December, stronger than the expectation of 3.8%. Traders anticipate that the FOMC will delay a rate cut as both inflation and labor market data did not support it. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tools, the market is pricing in 64% odds of a March rate cut, slightly lower than last week.

The European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde said on Thursday that the 'hardest part was likely over and interest rates would be cut if the ECB had the certainty that inflation had fallen to the 2% level. Lagarde added that interest rates in the eurozone had reached their peak after rising rapidly in response to high inflation last year. Traders have priced in at least five rate cuts in 2024, with the first move beginning in March or April.

Later on Friday, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) from France and Spain will be released, and ECB Philip Lane is set to speak. On the US docket, the Producer Price Index (PPI) will be released, which is forecast to show an increase of 1.3% YoY in December.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.098
Today Daily Change0.0008
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open1.0972
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0981
Daily SMA501.0893
Daily SMA1001.0766
Daily SMA2001.0848
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1004
Previous Daily Low1.093
Previous Weekly High1.1046
Previous Weekly Low1.0877
Previous Monthly High1.114
Previous Monthly Low1.0724
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0976
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0958
Daily Pivot Point S11.0933
Daily Pivot Point S21.0895
Daily Pivot Point S31.086
Daily Pivot Point R11.1007
Daily Pivot Point R21.1042
Daily Pivot Point R31.108

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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