|

EUR/USD holds below 1.0600, US NFP data in the spotlight

  • EUR/USD edges lower to 1.0575 in Friday’s early European session, down 0.10% on the day. 
  • Trump tariff threats and rising bets on ECB rate cuts undermine the Euro. 
  • Investors await the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for November, which is due later on Friday. 

The EUR/USD pair weakens to near 1.0575 during the early European session on Friday. Fears mount about US tariffs on European goods, and rising bets of interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB) weigh on the Euro (EUR) against the Greenback. Later on Friday, the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will take center stage. 

The shared currency remains on the defensive as traders are worried about the potential tariff policies on all goods coming into the US, which could undermine the Eurozone economy. Furthermore, the ECB is widely expected to cut the interest rate in the final monetary policy meeting of the year. The ECB is anticipated to trim its deposit rate by 25 basis points (bps) on December 12, according to all but two of 75 economists polled by Reuters.

Elsewhere, French President Emmanuel Macron said on Thursday that he will appoint a new Prime Minister in the coming days whose top priority will be getting a 2025 budget adopted by parliament, per Reuters. Any signs of political uncertainty in France could contribute to the EUR's downside.

Across the pond, the expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower borrowing costs at its December policy meeting might drag the Greenback and cap the downside for EUR/USD. The markets are now pricing in a 70.1% chance that the central bank will cut rates by a quarter point at its December 17-18 meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 20 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day, according to data from the Bank of International Settlements. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% of all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).



 

 

 

 

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.