|

EUR/USD hits 14-month high as entire US yield curve drops below 1%

  • EUR/USD hits multi-month highs as risk-off puts a haven bid under the common currency. 
  • Oil prices crashed in Asia on fears of an all-out Saudi-Russia oil price war. 
  • The entire US treasury yield curve now offers less than 1% yield. 

EUR/USD jumped to 14-month highs in Asia as heightened risk aversion strengthened the demand for treasuries and pushed the entire yield curve below 1%. 

The currency pair rose to 1.1495, the highest level since January 2019 as oil prices crashed on Saudi-Russia price war talk, bolstering the coronavirus-led risk aversion. 

As a result, the demand for anti-risk assets surged pushing the US yields lower and the EUR and other safe havens like JPY, CHF, and gold higher. 

The 10-year US yield fell to new record lows below 0.5% and the 30-year yield declined to lifetime lows below 1%. 

Notably, the entire yield curve from the one-month bill to a 30-year note is now offering a below-1% yield. The Fed funds futures are now pricing a 75 basis point rate cut next week. 

As a result, the dollar could continue to trade under pressure in Europe. The EUR, however, may find offers if the European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers try to calm market nerves by expressing readiness to provide more monetary stimulus. 

On the data front, the German Industrial Production and the Current Account data are scheduled for release at 07:00 GMT followed by the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence at 09:30 GMT. The US data docket is light. 

At press time, the spot is trading at 1.1417, representing a 1.17% gain on the day. 

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1417
Today Daily Change0.0111
Today Daily Change %0.98
Today daily open1.1306
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0955
Daily SMA501.1039
Daily SMA1001.1062
Daily SMA2001.1101
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1355
Previous Daily Low1.1212
Previous Weekly High1.1355
Previous Weekly Low1.1027
Previous Monthly High1.1089
Previous Monthly Low1.0778
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.13
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1266
Daily Pivot Point S11.1227
Daily Pivot Point S21.1148
Daily Pivot Point S31.1084
Daily Pivot Point R11.137
Daily Pivot Point R21.1434
Daily Pivot Point R31.1513

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.