|

EUR/USD hits 14-month high as entire US yield curve drops below 1%

  • EUR/USD hits multi-month highs as risk-off puts a haven bid under the common currency. 
  • Oil prices crashed in Asia on fears of an all-out Saudi-Russia oil price war. 
  • The entire US treasury yield curve now offers less than 1% yield. 

EUR/USD jumped to 14-month highs in Asia as heightened risk aversion strengthened the demand for treasuries and pushed the entire yield curve below 1%. 

The currency pair rose to 1.1495, the highest level since January 2019 as oil prices crashed on Saudi-Russia price war talk, bolstering the coronavirus-led risk aversion. 

As a result, the demand for anti-risk assets surged pushing the US yields lower and the EUR and other safe havens like JPY, CHF, and gold higher. 

The 10-year US yield fell to new record lows below 0.5% and the 30-year yield declined to lifetime lows below 1%. 

Notably, the entire yield curve from the one-month bill to a 30-year note is now offering a below-1% yield. The Fed funds futures are now pricing a 75 basis point rate cut next week. 

As a result, the dollar could continue to trade under pressure in Europe. The EUR, however, may find offers if the European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers try to calm market nerves by expressing readiness to provide more monetary stimulus. 

On the data front, the German Industrial Production and the Current Account data are scheduled for release at 07:00 GMT followed by the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence at 09:30 GMT. The US data docket is light. 

At press time, the spot is trading at 1.1417, representing a 1.17% gain on the day. 

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1417
Today Daily Change0.0111
Today Daily Change %0.98
Today daily open1.1306
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0955
Daily SMA501.1039
Daily SMA1001.1062
Daily SMA2001.1101
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1355
Previous Daily Low1.1212
Previous Weekly High1.1355
Previous Weekly Low1.1027
Previous Monthly High1.1089
Previous Monthly Low1.0778
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.13
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1266
Daily Pivot Point S11.1227
Daily Pivot Point S21.1148
Daily Pivot Point S31.1084
Daily Pivot Point R11.137
Daily Pivot Point R21.1434
Daily Pivot Point R31.1513

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks well bid above 1.1600

EUR/USD extends its recovery and climbs back above the 1.1600 mark in quite an auspicious start to the week. Improved risk appetite following the US-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz continues to weigh on the US Dollar, lending support to the risk complex. Looking ahead, investors are likely to remain on the sidelines ahead of Wednesday's FOMC meeting.

GBP/USD climbs to multi-day highs around 1.3460

GBP/USD remains comfortably in positive territory north of 1.3400 the figure on Monday. Cable continues to draw support from an improvement in market sentiment after reports that the US and Iran have reached a framework agreement aimed at ending the conflict and reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

Gold extends the recovery, targets $4,400

Gold rallies on Monday and climbs well above the $4,300 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal benefits from renewed selling pressure on the Greenback as investors reassess the implications of the US-Iran agreement to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Market participants now turn their attention to Wednesday's FOMC gathering.


Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP recovery gathers strength as US-Iran reach peace agreement

Cryptocurrency prices remain broadly elevated on Monday, led by Bitcoin’s upswing toward $66,000. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, mirror Bitcoin’s momentum, trading above $1,700 and $1.18.

Indonesia may have stabilised the Rupiah, but the bigger fight is not over

Bank Indonesia’s emergency rate hike has bought the Rupiah some time, but the currency’s hesitant response suggests it has not yet restored confidence. Can higher interest rates solve the Rupiah’s problem, or do the country’s challenges run deeper?

4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.