|

EUR/USD hits 14-month high as entire US yield curve drops below 1%

  • EUR/USD hits multi-month highs as risk-off puts a haven bid under the common currency. 
  • Oil prices crashed in Asia on fears of an all-out Saudi-Russia oil price war. 
  • The entire US treasury yield curve now offers less than 1% yield. 

EUR/USD jumped to 14-month highs in Asia as heightened risk aversion strengthened the demand for treasuries and pushed the entire yield curve below 1%. 

The currency pair rose to 1.1495, the highest level since January 2019 as oil prices crashed on Saudi-Russia price war talk, bolstering the coronavirus-led risk aversion. 

As a result, the demand for anti-risk assets surged pushing the US yields lower and the EUR and other safe havens like JPY, CHF, and gold higher. 

The 10-year US yield fell to new record lows below 0.5% and the 30-year yield declined to lifetime lows below 1%. 

Notably, the entire yield curve from the one-month bill to a 30-year note is now offering a below-1% yield. The Fed funds futures are now pricing a 75 basis point rate cut next week. 

As a result, the dollar could continue to trade under pressure in Europe. The EUR, however, may find offers if the European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers try to calm market nerves by expressing readiness to provide more monetary stimulus. 

On the data front, the German Industrial Production and the Current Account data are scheduled for release at 07:00 GMT followed by the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence at 09:30 GMT. The US data docket is light. 

At press time, the spot is trading at 1.1417, representing a 1.17% gain on the day. 

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1417
Today Daily Change0.0111
Today Daily Change %0.98
Today daily open1.1306
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0955
Daily SMA501.1039
Daily SMA1001.1062
Daily SMA2001.1101
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1355
Previous Daily Low1.1212
Previous Weekly High1.1355
Previous Weekly Low1.1027
Previous Monthly High1.1089
Previous Monthly Low1.0778
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.13
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1266
Daily Pivot Point S11.1227
Daily Pivot Point S21.1148
Daily Pivot Point S31.1084
Daily Pivot Point R11.137
Daily Pivot Point R21.1434
Daily Pivot Point R31.1513

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases from around 1.1800 after US GDP figures

The US Dollar is finding some near-term demand after the release of the US Q3 GDP. According to the report, the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.3% in the three months to September, well above the 3.3% forecast by market analysts.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD retreats from session highs and trades slightly below 1.3500 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar stages a rebound following the better-than-expected Q3 growth data, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the Christmas break.

Gold to challenge fresh record highs

Gold prices soared to $4,497 early on Monday, as persistent US Dollar weakness and thinned holiday trading exacerbated the bullish run. The bright metal eases following the release of an upbeat US Q3 GDP reading, as USD finds near-term demand in the American session.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP decline as risk-off sentiment escalates

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading above the $87,000 support at the time of writing on Tuesday. Selling pressure has continued to weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market since Monday, triggering declines across altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.