|

EUR/USD: Further upside still in play ahead of NFP?

  • USD, USTs unimpressed by the tax bill details.
  • Weekly highs at 1.1687 back on sight?
  • US payrolls in the spotlight.

After hitting fresh one-week highs at 1.1687 yesterday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated the gains in Asia, as the bulls take a breather and await the US payroll data for fresh direction.

EUR/USD looks to regain 1.17 handle

The spot is seen trying hard to extend the bid tone in another attempt to re-test weekly highs, as the technical set up on the daily sticks continue to remain supportive of further upside. The main currency pair is on a gradual recovery path from the ECB dovish taper decision induced three-month lows of 1.1575 levels, making higher lows on daily charts, which implies that the prices remain on track to test 1.17 handle.

More so, uncertainty over the US tax bill could continue to keep the greenback and Treasury yields on the back foot, which could push EUR/USD back towards 1.1685/1.1700 area. However, the US payrolls data due on the cards later today could stall the recent recovery mode in the major, as markets are expecting the headline NFP figures to show a solid rebound in October, coming in at 312k versus -33k last.

Meanwhile, the pair looks forward to the sentiment on the European markets for fresh impetus amid a data-empty EUR calendar today.

EUR/USD Technical Levels

Valeria Bednarik, Chief Analyst at FXStreet, noted: “In the 4 hours chart, the pair is above a marginally bullish 20 SMA, but technical indicators continue lacking directional strength within neutral territory. Renewed buying interest beyond 1.1670 should lead to a steeper advance, particularly on a disappointing US employment report. The opposite scenario would need to see the pair breaking below 1.1600 to open doors for a steadier decline beyond October's low of 1.1575. Support levels: 1.1600 1.1575 1.1540 Resistance levels: 1.1670 1.1700 1.1745.”

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Breaking: US Trump strikes Venezuela, claims President Maduro was captured and flown out of the country

United States (US) President Donald Trump has fulfilled his threats and finally struck Venezuela. Different media reports that explosions in Caracas began around 1:50 am local time on Saturday, leaving multiple areas of the city without power.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).