|

EUR/USD: Further upside still in play ahead of NFP?

  • USD, USTs unimpressed by the tax bill details.
  • Weekly highs at 1.1687 back on sight?
  • US payrolls in the spotlight.

After hitting fresh one-week highs at 1.1687 yesterday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated the gains in Asia, as the bulls take a breather and await the US payroll data for fresh direction.

EUR/USD looks to regain 1.17 handle

The spot is seen trying hard to extend the bid tone in another attempt to re-test weekly highs, as the technical set up on the daily sticks continue to remain supportive of further upside. The main currency pair is on a gradual recovery path from the ECB dovish taper decision induced three-month lows of 1.1575 levels, making higher lows on daily charts, which implies that the prices remain on track to test 1.17 handle.

More so, uncertainty over the US tax bill could continue to keep the greenback and Treasury yields on the back foot, which could push EUR/USD back towards 1.1685/1.1700 area. However, the US payrolls data due on the cards later today could stall the recent recovery mode in the major, as markets are expecting the headline NFP figures to show a solid rebound in October, coming in at 312k versus -33k last.

Meanwhile, the pair looks forward to the sentiment on the European markets for fresh impetus amid a data-empty EUR calendar today.

EUR/USD Technical Levels

Valeria Bednarik, Chief Analyst at FXStreet, noted: “In the 4 hours chart, the pair is above a marginally bullish 20 SMA, but technical indicators continue lacking directional strength within neutral territory. Renewed buying interest beyond 1.1670 should lead to a steeper advance, particularly on a disappointing US employment report. The opposite scenario would need to see the pair breaking below 1.1600 to open doors for a steadier decline beyond October's low of 1.1575. Support levels: 1.1600 1.1575 1.1540 Resistance levels: 1.1670 1.1700 1.1745.”

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to gains above 1.1700

Following the correction seen in the second half of the previous week, EUR/USD gains traction to start the new week and trades in positive territory above 1.1700. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to attract buyers as investors await Tuesday's GDP data ahead of the Christmas holiday. 

GBP/USD rises above 1.3400 on renewed USD weakness

GBP/USD turns north on Monday and trades in positive territory above 1.3400. The US Dollar (USD) stays on the back foot to begin the new week as investors adjust their positions before tomorrow's growth data, helping the pair stretch higher.

Gold hits new record-high above $4,400 as geopolitical tensions escalate

Gold trades at a fresh all-time-high above $4,400 Monday, rising more than 1.5% on a daily basis. The potential for a re-escalation of the tensions in the Middle East on news of Israel planning to attack Iran allows Gold to capitalize on safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple eye breakout for fresh recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are approaching key technical levels at the time of writing on Monday as the broader crypto market stabilizes. Market participants are closely watching whether BTC, ETH, and XRP can sustain breakouts and achieve decisive daily closes above nearby resistance levels, which could signal the start of a short-term recovery.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Hyperliquid price forecast: Bullish interest builds amid user recovery

Hyperliquid (HYPE) trades at $25 at press time on Monday, holding the 3% gains from the previous day. The perpetual exchange sees a recovery in active users, while weekly fees collected decline to the lowest level so far this month.