|

EUR/USD: Further upside still in play ahead of NFP?

  • USD, USTs unimpressed by the tax bill details.
  • Weekly highs at 1.1687 back on sight?
  • US payrolls in the spotlight.

After hitting fresh one-week highs at 1.1687 yesterday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated the gains in Asia, as the bulls take a breather and await the US payroll data for fresh direction.

EUR/USD looks to regain 1.17 handle

The spot is seen trying hard to extend the bid tone in another attempt to re-test weekly highs, as the technical set up on the daily sticks continue to remain supportive of further upside. The main currency pair is on a gradual recovery path from the ECB dovish taper decision induced three-month lows of 1.1575 levels, making higher lows on daily charts, which implies that the prices remain on track to test 1.17 handle.

More so, uncertainty over the US tax bill could continue to keep the greenback and Treasury yields on the back foot, which could push EUR/USD back towards 1.1685/1.1700 area. However, the US payrolls data due on the cards later today could stall the recent recovery mode in the major, as markets are expecting the headline NFP figures to show a solid rebound in October, coming in at 312k versus -33k last.

Meanwhile, the pair looks forward to the sentiment on the European markets for fresh impetus amid a data-empty EUR calendar today.

EUR/USD Technical Levels

Valeria Bednarik, Chief Analyst at FXStreet, noted: “In the 4 hours chart, the pair is above a marginally bullish 20 SMA, but technical indicators continue lacking directional strength within neutral territory. Renewed buying interest beyond 1.1670 should lead to a steeper advance, particularly on a disappointing US employment report. The opposite scenario would need to see the pair breaking below 1.1600 to open doors for a steadier decline beyond October's low of 1.1575. Support levels: 1.1600 1.1575 1.1540 Resistance levels: 1.1670 1.1700 1.1745.”

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.