- EUR/USD regains the upside and advances to the 1.1870/80 band.
- EMU’s trade surplus widened to €27.9 billion during July.
- Retail Sales, FOMC meeting take centre stage in the NA session.
The single currency has regained buying interest on Wednesday and is now lifting EUR/USD back to the upper-1.1800s, or fresh daily peaks.
EUR/USD focused on data, FOMC
Following Tuesday’s pullback, EUR/USD has regained the upper hand and is resuming the uptrend on Wednesday on the back of the resumption of the offered bias around the greenback.
Indeed, bulls appear to have regained the upper hand in the middle of the week, always underpinned by the firm demand in the risk complex as well as rising hopes of the release of an effective COVID-19 vaccine in the short-term (ish).
In the euro docket, the trade surplus in the region climbed to €27.9 billion during July, surpassing estimates at the same time. Additionally in the euro area, ECB´s Board members Lane and Hakkarainien are due to speak. Across the pond, investors’ attention will be on the release of August’s Retail Sales, Business Inventories, MBA’s Mortgage Applications and the NAHB index.
Closing the session, the Federal Reserve will finish its 2-day monetary policy meeting. Consensus sees the Fed maintaining the current status quo, although the revised economic projections and further details on the already announced Average Inflation Targeting (AIT) scheme are expected to be on top of the debate.
What to look for around EUR
EUR/USD managed to test the area just above 1.20 the figure at the beginning of the month. The move, however, lacked follow through and triggered a corrective downside that met contention near 1.1750. Looking at the broader picture, the bearish view on the dollar continues to sustain the underlying constructive bias in the pair, all accompanied by the improved sentiment in the risk-associated universe, auspicious results from domestic fundamentals - which have been in turn supporting further the view of a strong economic recovery following the coronavirus crisis – as well as a calmer US-China trade front. The solid positive stance in the speculative community also underpins the constructive outlook in the euro, while the latest message from the ECB also collaborates with the momentum in the euro.
EUR/USD levels to watch
At the moment, the pair is gaining 0.18% at 1.1867 and a breakout of 1.1965 (monthly high Aug.18) would target 1.2011 (2020 high Sep.1) en route to 1.2032 (23.6% Fibo of the 2017-2018 rally). On the flip side, immediate contention is located at 1.1751 (monthly low Sep.9) seconded by 1.1709 (38.2% Fibo of the 2017-2018 rally) and finally 1.1695 (monthly low Aug.3).
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD bounces to 0.6450, shrugs off mixed Australian jobs data
AUD/USD is rebounding to test 0.6450 amid renewed US Dollar weakness in the Asian session on Thursday. The pair reverses mixed Australian employment data-led minor losses, as risk sentiment recovers.
USD/JPY drops to test 154.00 on Japan's intervention warnings
USD/JPY extends losses to test 154.00 in Asian trading on Thursday. The pair is undermined by the latest US Dollar pullback, Japan's FX intervention risks and a softer risk tone. Focus shifts to more Fedspeak and US data.
Gold price finds buyers again near $2,355 as USD licks its wounds
Gold price is attempting a tepid bounce in the Asian session, having found fresh demand near $2,355 once again. Gold price capitalizes on a softer risk tone and an extended weakness in the US Treasury bond yields, despite the recent hawkish Fed commentary.
Manta Network price braces for volatility as $44 million worth of MANTA is due to flood markets
Manta Network price was not spared from the broader market crash instigated by a weakness in the Bitcoin market. While analysts call a bottoming out in the BTC price, the Web3 modular ecosystem token could suffer further impact.
Investors hunkering down
Amidst a relentless cautionary deluge of commentary from global financial leaders gathered at the International Monetary Fund and World Bank Spring meetings in Washington, investors appear to be taking a hiatus after witnessing significant market movements in recent weeks.