|

EUR/USD finds support from weaker treasury yields, Ifo eyed

The EUR/USD pair tries hard to build on Friday’s recovery, although finds some from broad based US dollar weakness in tandem with weaker US treasury yields.

EUR/USD hovers around 5-DMA at 1.0461

Currently, EUR/USD trades modestly higher at 1.0458, unable to chew offers lined up near 1.0470 region. The main currency pair clung on to 1.04 support on Friday, and from there staged a steady recovery back above 1.0450 levels, while the recovery gained extra legs in the Asian trades this Monday, mainly driven by fresh selling seen in the US treasury yields, particularly the 2-year yields, which mimics the interest rates expectations.

However, the recovery appears to lack momentum amid slightly better risk conditions prevalent in Asia, with positive oil prices and higher Asian indices. Markets look past Fed’s hawkishness witnessed last week, as attention turns towards the fundamentals, with the German Ifo business climate and Buba monthly report next on tap today.

EUR/USD Technical Levels

In terms of technicals, the pair finds the immediate resistance 1.0477 (post-FOMC high). A break beyond the last, doors will open for a test of 1.0500 (round figure) and from there to 1.0529 (10-DMA). On the flip side, the immediate support is placed at 1.0400 (round number) below which 1.0366 (14-yr low) and 1.0300 (key support) could be tested.

    1. R3 1.0485
    2. R2 1.0472
    3. R1 1.0458
  1. PP 1.0445
    1. S1 1.0431
    2. S2 1.0418
    3. S3 1.0404

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.