EUR/USD fails to confirm above 1.0800; focus on 1.0785 support area


  • EUR/USD recovery attempt finds resistance right above 1.0800.
  • Risk aversion and doubts about the ECB bond-buying program hurt the euro.
  • Below 1.0785, the pair might aim towards late March lows at 1.0725.


The EUR/USD recovery attempt witnessed during the early European session has lost traction right above 1.0800 and the pair is pulling back again, aiming towards 1.0785 support area.

Risk aversion and doubts about the ECB bond-buying hurt the euro

The euro is losing ground amid a risk-averse market sentiment, as the spread between the Italian and German bonds surges to 250 basis points for the first time in two weeks. The market has reacted with concern to the German constitutional court’s ruling, calling for the ECB to justify its bonds purchasing program This decision might undermine the Bank’s plans to shore up eurozone economy after the coronavirus-induced shock.

Furthermore, macroeconomic indicators have failed to improve sentiment. The US ADP employment report has forecasted a record 20.2 million decline on private employment in April. In such a negative scenario, investors are betting on safe assets like the US dollar or the Japanese yen, in detriment of riskier currencies like the euro.

EUR/USD support level at 1.0785 under threat

The euro is right now pulling back from intra-day highs at 1.0825, aiming towards 1.0785 (intra-day low). If this level gives way, the next potential support areas might be 1.0725 (April 24 low) and 1.0635 (March 22 low). On the upside, the pair should break above the mentioned top at 1.0825 to aim for 1.0890/95 (April 17, 20, 22 and 28 highs) and then towards the  50-day SMA around 1.0960.

EURUSD key levels to watch


Today last price 1.0805
Today Daily Change -0.0038
Today Daily Change % -0.35
Today daily open 1.0843
Daily SMA20 1.0879
Daily SMA50 1.0964
Daily SMA100 1.1002
Daily SMA200 1.1034
Previous Daily High 1.0926
Previous Daily Low 1.0826
Previous Weekly High 1.1019
Previous Weekly Low 1.081
Previous Monthly High 1.1039
Previous Monthly Low 1.0727
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0864
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0888
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0804
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0765
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0704
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0904
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0965
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1004




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