|

EUR/USD faces worst weekly loss since November 2016, creates bearish outside-week candle

  • The EUR/USD is down 1.7 percent from last Friday's close of 1.1767-  its worst weekly loss since November 2016.
  • ECB's dovish taper, fears of a trade war and hawkish Fed rate hike will likely keep the EUR under pressure on the last trading day of the week.
  • The common currency has created a bearish outside-week candle, signaling the sell-off from 1.2556 has resumed.

Currently, the EUR/USD pair is trading at 1.1567 - down 1.7 percent week-on-week - its worst weekly losses since November 2016.

ECB's Draghi pulled the plug on the QE program yesterday, still, the EUR dropped more than 200 pips as the central bank head pushed out the first rate hike to end 2019. The QE taper gives the EUR an edge over the Japanese Yen but does little to support boost EUR/USD exchange rate as the Fed is planning to hike rates at a faster rate and the ECB is at least 1.5-years away from the rate hike.

Bearish revival

The EUR created a bearish outside-day candle yesterday. Further, the weekly chart also shows a bearish outside-week candle, indicating the rally from the recent low of 1.1510 has ended and the bears have regained control. So, EUR/USD could have a relook at 1.15 and could possibly break lower to 1.1412 (200-week moving average)

EUR/USD Technical Levels

Resistance: 1.1585 (resistance on hourly chart), 1.1673 (descending 50-hour moving average), 1.1690 (5-day moving average).

Support: 1.1510 (May 29 low), 1.1423 (100-week moving average), 1.1412 (200-week moving average).

 TREND INDEXOB/OS INDEXVOLATILY INDEX
15MBearishNeutral Low
1HBullishOversold Shrinking
4HStrongly BearishOversold High
1DBearishNeutral Expanding
1WBearishNeutral Expanding

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD softens below 1.1750 after Fed Minutes

The EUR/USD pair attracts some sellers near 1.1745 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar edges higher against the Euro after the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting. The US Initial Jobless Claims report will be released later in the day. Trading volumes are expected to remain thin ahead of the New Year holidays.

GBP/USD trades flat above 1.3450 amid thin trading volume

The GBP/USD pair holds steady around 1.3465 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. However, the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path, which might underpin the Cable against the US Dollar. Financial markets are expected to trade on thin volumes as traders prepare for the New Year holiday.

Gold attempts another run toward $4,400 on final day of 2025

Gold price makes another attempt toward $4,400 in Asian trading on Tuesday, keeping the recovery mode intact following Monday's over 4% correction. The bright metal seems to cheer upbeat Chinese NBS and RatingDog Manufacturing and Services PMI data for December. 

Top Crypto Gainers: Canton, Four, Plasma rally secures double-digit gains

Canton, Four, and Plasma are the top-performing crypto assets over the last 24 hours with double-digit gains. The extended recovery in Canton is gaining traction while Four and Plasma target a decisive close above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average on the 4-hour chart.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).