|

EUR/USD faces worst weekly loss since November 2016, creates bearish outside-week candle

  • The EUR/USD is down 1.7 percent from last Friday's close of 1.1767-  its worst weekly loss since November 2016.
  • ECB's dovish taper, fears of a trade war and hawkish Fed rate hike will likely keep the EUR under pressure on the last trading day of the week.
  • The common currency has created a bearish outside-week candle, signaling the sell-off from 1.2556 has resumed.

Currently, the EUR/USD pair is trading at 1.1567 - down 1.7 percent week-on-week - its worst weekly losses since November 2016.

ECB's Draghi pulled the plug on the QE program yesterday, still, the EUR dropped more than 200 pips as the central bank head pushed out the first rate hike to end 2019. The QE taper gives the EUR an edge over the Japanese Yen but does little to support boost EUR/USD exchange rate as the Fed is planning to hike rates at a faster rate and the ECB is at least 1.5-years away from the rate hike.

Bearish revival

The EUR created a bearish outside-day candle yesterday. Further, the weekly chart also shows a bearish outside-week candle, indicating the rally from the recent low of 1.1510 has ended and the bears have regained control. So, EUR/USD could have a relook at 1.15 and could possibly break lower to 1.1412 (200-week moving average)

EUR/USD Technical Levels

Resistance: 1.1585 (resistance on hourly chart), 1.1673 (descending 50-hour moving average), 1.1690 (5-day moving average).

Support: 1.1510 (May 29 low), 1.1423 (100-week moving average), 1.1412 (200-week moving average).

 TREND INDEXOB/OS INDEXVOLATILY INDEX
15MBearishNeutral Low
1HBullishOversold Shrinking
4HStrongly BearishOversold High
1DBearishNeutral Expanding
1WBearishNeutral Expanding

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to gains around 1.1800

EUR/USD manages to regain composure and retests the 1.1800 region in quite a positive start to the week. The pair’s bounce follows the US Dollar’s offered stance post-SCOTUS ruling ahead of important US data and Fedspeak on Tuesday.

GBP/USD treads water near 1.3500 as BoE-Fed divergence debate stalls

GBP/USD spent Monday spinning in place as market participants await a fresh catalyst to break the pair out of its recent range. The BoE's February hold came with a surprisingly dovish 5-4 split, and UK Consumer Price Index data last week showed inflation easing to 3.0%, reinforcing the case for earlier rate cuts, with most economists now looking to April or March for the next move. 

Gold climbs above $5,200 on geopolitical tensions, trade uncertainty

Gold price jumps to around $5,230 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by heightened geopolitical tensions and global trade uncertainty following US tariff decisions. Traders brace for the US January Producer Price Index report on Friday for fresh impetus. 

Solana DeFi platform Step Finance to close operations following treasury hack

The Solana based decentralized finance platform Step Finance announced it will end all operations effective immediately following a breach that drained its treasury.

Supreme Court nixes tariffs, Trump teases 15% global tariff

On February 20th, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s global tariffs under IEEPA authority were unconstitutional, effectively nullifying the framework. However, the relief was short-lived. Within hours, Trump floated a 15% blanket tariff under an alternative legal authority.

XRP recovers slightly as bearish sentiment dominates crypto market

Ripple is rising above $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid fresh tariff-triggered headwinds in the broader cryptocurrency market. The sell-off to $1.33, the token’s intraday low, can be attributed to macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and risk-averse sentiment among other factors.