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EUR/USD rallies hard on relentless US Dollar selling

  • EUR/USD surges past 1.1450 in the European session on Friday.
  • The US Dollar extends its dive as China ramps up tariffs on US goods.
  • The EU has paused its retaliatory 25% tariffs on US goods for 90 days due to Trump's tariff suspension..

The EUR/USD pair keeps pushing higher, hitting the highest level in three years above 1.1450 in European trading on Friday. The latest uptick in the pair is mainly linked to a fresh leg lower in the US Dollar (USD) after China retaliated with a tariff hike to 125% from 84% on US goods.

The US-China trade war escalation intensifies US recession risks, fanning dovish US Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations. Meanwhile, the Euro (EUR) continues to draw support from the European Union (EU) announcement of a 90-day pause on countermeasures against the United States (US) on Thursday, a day after US President Donald Trump hit a pause on previously announced tariffs for dozens of countries.

Investors brace for the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for March and the advanced Michigan Consumer Sentiment report, which are due later on Friday. Also, Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem and Fed Bank of New York President John Williams are scheduled to speak. If the reports show a stronger-than-expected outcome, this could lift the Greenback and cap the upside for EUR/USD.

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD maintains bullish tone amid overbought conditions

According to Eren Sengezer, FXStreet's Senior Analyst, "the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart climbed above 80, highlighting overbought conditions for the pair."

"On the upside, 1.1500 (round level) could be seen as the next resistance level before 1.1535 (static level from November 2021) and 1.1600 (static level, round level). Looking south, supports could be spotted at 1.1300 (static level, round level) and 1.1200 (static level, round level)."

Euro PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -2.14%-1.10%-1.48%-0.55%0.08%-1.22%-1.40%
EUR2.14% 1.03%0.60%1.59%2.24%0.89%0.71%
GBP1.10%-1.03% -0.37%0.56%1.21%-0.13%-0.31%
JPY1.48%-0.60%0.37% 0.95%1.63%0.35%0.16%
CAD0.55%-1.59%-0.56%-0.95% 0.63%-0.67%-0.86%
AUD-0.08%-2.24%-1.21%-1.63%-0.63% -1.30%-1.48%
NZD1.22%-0.89%0.13%-0.35%0.67%1.30% -0.20%
CHF1.40%-0.71%0.31%-0.16%0.86%1.48%0.20% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Tariffs FAQs

Tariffs are customs duties levied on certain merchandise imports or a category of products. Tariffs are designed to help local producers and manufacturers be more competitive in the market by providing a price advantage over similar goods that can be imported. Tariffs are widely used as tools of protectionism, along with trade barriers and import quotas.

Although tariffs and taxes both generate government revenue to fund public goods and services, they have several distinctions. Tariffs are prepaid at the port of entry, while taxes are paid at the time of purchase. Taxes are imposed on individual taxpayers and businesses, while tariffs are paid by importers.

There are two schools of thought among economists regarding the usage of tariffs. While some argue that tariffs are necessary to protect domestic industries and address trade imbalances, others see them as a harmful tool that could potentially drive prices higher over the long term and lead to a damaging trade war by encouraging tit-for-tat tariffs.

During the run-up to the presidential election in November 2024, Donald Trump made it clear that he intends to use tariffs to support the US economy and American producers. In 2024, Mexico, China and Canada accounted for 42% of total US imports. In this period, Mexico stood out as the top exporter with $466.6 billion, according to the US Census Bureau. Hence, Trump wants to focus on these three nations when imposing tariffs. He also plans to use the revenue generated through tariffs to lower personal income taxes.


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Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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