EUR/USD: EUR shrugs off weak German ZEW survey – Scotiabank

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

Germany’s ZEW index reflected a sharper than expected fall in current conditions and expectations in September, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

Technicals remains bullish

“This index tends to be volatile, reflecting sentiment sometimes shaped by market volatility, but German investors are clearly concerned by signs of slowing growth. The EUR drifted back marginally from its intraday peak around the data’s release but remains comfortable trading above the 1.11 area.”

“The EUR’s progress through the ceiling of the downward-sloping consolidation range in development since the end of August suggests more gains in the near/medium term for spot. The range break out has triggered a bull flag pattern on the charts which suggests the recent uptrend in spot can resume.”

“The only caveat is that spot seems—so far—reluctant to push on higher towards 1.12. That is not too surprising, given the fundamental backdrop for markets this week. But it highlights the risk that a failure to develop gains risks dumping spot back to the lower end of the range in the upper 1.09s.”

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FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

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