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EUR/USD erases ECB-inspired gains, closes in on 1.1100

  • ECB raises 2019 GDP growth forecast to 1.2%.
  • Surging US T-bond yields help USD recover on Thursday.
  • US Dollar Index climbs higher toward 97.50 handle.

The EUR/USD pair climbed to its highest level since early November at 1.1154 during the European trading hours but failed to preserve its momentum amid broad-based USD strength. As of writing, the pair was trading at 1.1112, erasing 0.15% on a daily basis.

Euro gained traction during Lagarde's presser

In a widely expected decision on Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced that it left the interest rates on the main refinancing operations and the interest rates on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility unchanged at 0.00%, 0.25% and -0.50%, respectively.

During her first press conference, ECB President Lagarde noted that the ECB has revised its 2019 growth expectation to 1.2% from 1.1%. Lagarde refrained from commenting on the possibility of a change in the monetary policy and helped the shared currency gather strength against its rivals. 

Assessing Lagarde's remarks, "as regards the short-term outlook for monetary policy, further easing seems to be off the table, at least with the current macro projections, and wait-and-see looks the way forward," noted IND analysts. "Today, at least we had the impression that it was not always clear whether Lagarde spoke on behalf of herself or on behalf of – at least the majority of – the ECB’s Governing Council."

On the other hand, revived hopes of the US and China coming to terms on trade to delay the December 15 tariff hike provided a boost to the market sentiment. Supported by a more-than-5% increase in the yield of the 10-year US Treasury bond yield, the US Dollar Index staged a decisive rebound and put the pair under bearish pressure. At the moment, the index is up 0.2% on the day at 97.38.

Technical levels to watch for

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.112
Today Daily Change-0.0019
Today Daily Change %-0.17
Today daily open1.1139
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1057
Daily SMA501.1063
Daily SMA1001.1066
Daily SMA2001.1155
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1146
Previous Daily Low1.107
Previous Weekly High1.1116
Previous Weekly Low1.1002
Previous Monthly High1.1176
Previous Monthly Low1.0981
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1117
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1099
Daily Pivot Point S11.1091
Daily Pivot Point S21.1042
Daily Pivot Point S31.1014
Daily Pivot Point R11.1167
Daily Pivot Point R21.1195
Daily Pivot Point R31.1243

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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