- EUR/USD portrays typical pre-NFP trading lull at five-month high.
- ECB President Christine Lagarde cites economic uncertainty, need for fiscal policy to defend the bloc.
- Downbeat comments from IMF’s Georgieva, anxiety ahead of US NFP also probe bulls.
- Hopes of Fed’s slower rate hike, downbeat expectations from US data favor buyers.
EUR/USD portrays the market’s cautious mood as it steadies near a five-month high surrounding 1.0530 during early Friday.
That said, the major currency pair’s latest inaction could be linked to the mixed concerns surrounding likely downbeat US employment data and economic fears cited by the key policymakers from the US and Europe.
Recently, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde mentioned the need for short-term and bespoke fiscal policy. The policymaker also said, “For sustainable growth, all policies must work together.”
Further, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said that recession risks are rising for many countries, and the outlook for global growth is exceptionally uncertain and dominated by risks. The same challenged the market sentiment and allowed the US Dollar Index (DXY) to take a breather around the lowest levels since early July.
Even so, a record-low Unemployment Rate in the bloc joins dovish comments from the majority of the Fed policymakers, including Chairman Jerome Powell, to keep the EUR/USD buyers hopeful.
Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 Futures drop 0.30% intraday to 4,070 whereas the US 10-year Treasury yields printed a corrective bounce off the 10-week low to 3.54% by the press time.
Moving on, EUR/USD may remain inactive amid a light calendar ahead of the US jobs report and cautious mood. However, the bulls are likely to stay in the driver’s seat as the headline Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) is expected to ease to 200K print versus 261K prior while the Unemployment Rate could remain unchanged at 3.7%.
A four-month-old upward-sloping previous resistance line, now support near 1.0500, restricts short-term EUR/USD downside. Meanwhile, the pair’s upside moves could aim for the late June swing high near 1.0615.
Additional important levels
|Today last price||1.0524|
|Today Daily Change||0.0000|
|Today Daily Change %||0.00%|
|Today daily open||1.0524|
|Previous Daily High||1.0534|
|Previous Daily Low||1.0393|
|Previous Weekly High||1.0449|
|Previous Weekly Low||1.0223|
|Previous Monthly High||1.0497|
|Previous Monthly Low||0.973|
|Daily Fibonacci 38.2%||1.048|
|Daily Fibonacci 61.8%||1.0447|
|Daily Pivot Point S1||1.0434|
|Daily Pivot Point S2||1.0343|
|Daily Pivot Point S3||1.0293|
|Daily Pivot Point R1||1.0574|
|Daily Pivot Point R2||1.0624|
|Daily Pivot Point R3||1.0715|
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Follow us on Telegram
Stay updated of all the news
EUR/USD stays below 1.0900 as Q1 comes to an end
EUR/USD has lost its traction and declined below 1.0900 in the American session on Friday. Quarter-end flows seem to be allowing the US Dollar find some demand but the risk-positive market environment seems to be limiting the pair's downside ahead of the weekend.
GBP/USD trades below 1.2400, looks to post weekly gains
GBP/USD has edged lower after having tested 1.2400 earlier in the day but remains on track to end the third straight week in positive territory. The upbeat mood remains intact after soft PCE inflation data from the US, making it difficult for the US Dollar to continue to gather strength.
Gold tries to stabilize near $1,980 following earlier spike
Gold price has returned to the $1,980 area following a spike above $1,987 with the initial reaction to lower-than-expected PCE inflation figures from the US. Meanwhile, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in the red near 3.5%, providing support to XAU/USD.
Will Dogecoin price pull an XRP and rally 60% next week?
Dogecoin price has been in a tight range bound movement since November 22. The recent recovery above the range low looks promising and hints at an explosive move for next week.
Week ahead – Nonfarm payrolls to set the tone for US dollar
With the banking turmoil receding, market participants will turn their attention back to economic releases. The spotlight will fall on the US employment report.