|

EUR/USD: Dollar under pressure due to weak US jobs data

  • EUR/USD is nearing a former support-turned-resistance line. 
  • Friday's dismal US data is likely powering gains and may continue to drive the pair higher in Europe. 

EUR/USD is better bid at press time and is closing on a former support-turned-resistance at 1.1132 – trendline rising from Nov. 29 and Dec. 24 lows. 

The greenback is flashing red, possibly due to the weak jobs data and wage growth figures released Friday. 

The Nonfarm Payrolls data showed the economy added 145K jobs in December, missing the expected print of 164K additions by a big margin. Further, downward revisions to previous months shed 15,000 jobs. 

More importantly, the average hourly earnings rose by 2.9% year-on-year in December compared to the 3.1% projection. That was the first below-3% print since July 2018. 

The anemic wage growth likely revived disinflation fears. As a result, the 10-year treasury yield fell by seven basis points to 1.81% on Friday and could extend losses on
Monday, further strengthening the bid tone around EUR/USD. 

The single currency could also draw bids on continued easing of US-China trade tensions. The US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin was out on the wires on Sunday
informing markets that there will be talks on the phase-two of the US-China trade deal when the Chinese delegates arrive on January 15.

On the data front, the German Wholesale Price Index (WPI) for November is scheduled for release at 07:00 GMT. That data, however, seldom moves markets. All in all, the pair is at the mercy of the action in the treasury yields.  

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1129
Today Daily Change0.0008
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open1.1121
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1141
Daily SMA501.1092
Daily SMA1001.1066
Daily SMA2001.114
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1131
Previous Daily Low1.1085
Previous Weekly High1.1208
Previous Weekly Low1.1085
Previous Monthly High1.124
Previous Monthly Low1.1002
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1113
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1102
Daily Pivot Point S11.1094
Daily Pivot Point S21.1067
Daily Pivot Point S31.1048
Daily Pivot Point R11.1139
Daily Pivot Point R21.1158
Daily Pivot Point R31.1185

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD pops to yearly highs near 1.1770

EUR/USD rapidly reverses course and hits fresh YTD tops near 1.1780 at the end of the week. The pair’s U-turn comes on the back of the intense sell-off in the Greenback amid the generalised risk-on context.

GBP/USD climbs to four-month tops near 1.3600

GBP/USD is building on its solid weekly advance and is pushing toward the 1.3600 hurdle on Friday, or new four-month peaks. Cable’s strong move higher comes as the Greenback intensifies its decline, while auspicious results on the UK calendar also collaborate with the uptrend.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $5,000

Gold prices keep their uptrend well in place and gear up for an imminent hit to the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The yellow metal’s sharp advance gathers pace amid the increasing weakness in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasury yields across the curve.

Swiss bank UBS Group mulls Bitcoin and Ethereum offering for select private clients

UBS Group AG plans to offer crypto investment services to select private clients. The offering will allow clients of its private bank in Switzerland to buy and sell Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Week ahead – Fed and BoC meet amid geopolitical upheaval and Trump’s Fed pick

Fed to likely go on pause after three straight cuts. BoC is also expected to stand pat. But will Trump steal the limelight by revealing his Fed chair nomination?

Bitcoin slips below $90,000 as Trump's tariffs swing, ETF outflows pressure price

Bitcoin price struggles below $90,000 on Friday, correcting nearly 5% so far this week. Trump’s Davos speech on Wednesday, backing away from imposing further tariffs on the EU, triggered market volatility and risk-on mood.