|

EUR/USD could break out in either direction

EUR/USD has extended its sideways grind into a third straight day. As FXStreet’s Eren Sengezer notes, the pair has the potential to move sharply in either direction.

Breakout imminent on US inflation data

“The symmetrical triangle that seems to have formed on the four-hour chart confirms the view that the pair is about to break out of its range. 

“On the upside, 1.0230/1.0240 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of the latest downtrend, 200-period SMA on the four-hour chart) aligns as key resistance. With a weak CPI print, the pair could rise above that level and target 1.0300 (psychological level, Fibonacci 50% retracement) and 1.0370 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement.” 

“Significant support is located at 1.0200 (psychological level, 100-period SMA, 50-period SMA). If the dollar regathers strength on a hot inflation report, the pair could pierce through that support and extend its decline toward 1.0150 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) and 1.0100 (psychological level, static level).” 

See – US CPI Preview: Forecasts from nine major banks, soaring inflation to ease off in July

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD faces next resistance near 1.1930

EUR/USD continues to build on its recovery in the latter part of Wednesday’s session, with upside momentum accelerating as the pair retargets the key 1.1900 barrier amid a further loss of traction in the US Dollar. Attention now shifts squarely to the US data docket, with labour market figures and the always influential CPI releases due on Thursday and Friday, respectively.

GBP/USD slips heading into the Thursday trading window

The Pound Sterling pulled back from four-year highs on Wednesday, weighed down by a combination of Bank of England dovishness and UK political uncertainty, even as the US Dollar weakened on soft labor market revisions. 

Gold posts modest gains above $5,050 as US-Iran tensions persist despite strong labor data

Gold price trades in positive territory near $5,060 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher despite stronger-than-expected US employment data. The release of the US Consumer Price Index inflation report will take center stage later on Friday. 

Bitcoin holds steady despite strong US labour market

Bitcoin briefly bounced from $66,000 to above $68,000 but slightly reversed those gains following Wednesday's US January jobs report. The top crypto is hovering around $67,000, down 2% over the past 24 hours as of writing on Wednesday.

US jobs data surprises to the upside, boosts stocks but pushes back Fed rate cut expectations

This was an unusual payrolls report for two reasons. Firstly, because it was released on  Wednesday, and secondly, because it included the 2025 revisions alongside the January NFP figure.

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.