|

EUR/USD consolidated near 3-year tops, US macro data awaited

   •  German political headlines eased months of uncertainty.
   •  Persistent USD weakness provides an additional boost.
   •  US CPI & monthly retail sales data to provide fresh impetus.

The EUR/USD pair held on to its strong gains above the 1.2100 handle and now seems to have entered a bullish consolidation phase near 3-year tops. 

Against the backdrop of Thursday's hawkish ECB monetary policy meeting minutes, the latest German political development, wherein coalition party leaders reached a breakthrough in talks to form a new government and provided an additional boost to the shared currency.

Moreover, the prevailing strong bearish sentiment surrounding the greenback, with the key US Dollar Index tumbling to its lowest level since September, remained supportive of the pair's strong up-move to the highest level since Jan. 2015.

Traders now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the release of consumer inflation figures and monthly retail sales data, for some fresh impetus on the last trading day of the week.

Technical outlook

Mario Blascak, European Chief Analyst at FXStreet writes: “With technical oscillators including Momentum, the Relative Strength Index and Slow Stochastics all pointing upwards, the potential of moving towards the targeted $1.2170 is in place, especially as the next target is in sight of current spot rate. Should $1.2170 be broken on the upside, next target for EUR/USD is $1.2600, representing 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the above-mentioned move lower to $1.0350.”
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats below 1.1800 as EU-US trade relations sour

EUR/USD loses its traction and retreats below 1.1800 following the earlier climb. The data from Germany highlighted a modest improvement in business sentiment in February but failed to help the Euro as investors assess the US-EU trade relations following Trump's global tariff hike announcement.

GBP/USD rises toward 1.3550 as tariff confusion slams USD

GBP/USD extends the advance toward 1.3550 on Monday. The US Dollar faces intense selling pressure as tariff uncertainty lingers following US President Trump's latest announcement. Traders will take more cues from the broader market sentiment and central bank talks. 

Gold climbs above $5,100 on broad USD weakness

Gold sticks to its bullish bias near the monthly above $5,100 on Monday. Renewed trade-war fears, along with rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, turn out to be key factors that underpin the safe-haven precious metal and validate the constructive outlook.

Cardano braces for impact as US tariff storm brews

Cardano is down 4% at press time on Monday, entering its third consecutive day of decline. Bearish bias in Cardano’s derivatives market positional buildup aligns with rising pressure on the broader cryptocurrencymarket amid US President Donald Trump's reassessment of global tariffs and domestic conflict with the US Supreme Court. 

Supreme Court nixes tariffs, Trump teases 15% global tariff

On February 20th, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s global tariffs under IEEPA authority were unconstitutional, effectively nullifying the framework. However, the relief was short-lived. Within hours, Trump floated a 15% blanket tariff under an alternative legal authority.

Top Crypto Losers: Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero extended losses as Bitcoin loses $65,000

The cryptocurrency market starts the week in panic mode, with altcoins Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero. Bitcoin falls below $65,000 as the US President Donald Trump regroups amid renewed trade policy risks.