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EUR/USD can’t hold above 1.0500, blame it on risk aversion and CHF

  • US dollar strengthens amid risk aversion, DXY up 0.30%.
  • EUR/USD trims a fraction of its recent gains.
  • EUR/CHF plummets more than a hundred pips in minutes.

The EUR/USD is back under 1.0500 as the US dollar strengthened amid a deterioration in market sentiment. At the same time, a sharp slide in EUR/CHF also weighed on the euro.

Wall Street and EUR/CHF on free fall

Leading stock indices in Wall Street are falling by more than 2% and have erased the gains of the previous two trading days. Pessimism about the global economic outlook is back on the table and also affected by more hawkish rhetoric from Federal Reserve and European Central Bank officials.

As risk-off set in, the demand for Treasuries emerged. As a consequence, the US 10-year yield fell to 2.90% and the 30-year to 3.11%. The decline in yields so far prevents a larger appreciation of the US dollar.

The context boosted the Swiss franc and the yen that are the best performers on Wednesday. The EUR/CHF lost more than a hundred pips during the last two hours, falling from 1.0480 to 1.0364 and hitting the euro. Today, Swiss National Bank Chairman Thomas Jordan repeated that they are "ready to intervene in currency markets when necessary."

Is the recovery over?

At the time of writing, EUR/USD trades at 1.0489, the daily low. Price is testing the 55- and 200-hour Simple Moving Averages (SMA). A consolidation below this level should point to a potential end of the rally from the multi-year low. The following support stands at 1.0435, followed by 1.0390.

On the upside, the critical short-term area to watch is 1.0525/30, a horizontal resistance and the 20-hour SMA. Above, the euro should look at 1.0555 and the daily high at 1.0563.

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0515
Today Daily Change-0.0034
Today Daily Change %-0.32
Today daily open1.0549
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0578
Daily SMA501.0806
Daily SMA1001.1049
Daily SMA2001.1303
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0556
Previous Daily Low1.0428
Previous Weekly High1.0592
Previous Weekly Low1.035
Previous Monthly High1.1076
Previous Monthly Low1.0471
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0507
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0477
Daily Pivot Point S11.0466
Daily Pivot Point S21.0384
Daily Pivot Point S31.0339
Daily Pivot Point R11.0594
Daily Pivot Point R21.0638
Daily Pivot Point R31.0721

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
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