|

EUR/USD bounces-back towards 1.1540

  • US dollar weakness, widening German-Italian yield spread aids the EUR/USD rebound.
  • Focus shifts to Eurozone PMIs and FOMC minutes amid a data-dry calendar today.

The EUR/USD pair faced rejection once again near 1.1540 levels and reversed from weekly tops to test the 1.15 handle before running into fresh buyers ahead of the last.

At the press time, the spot is seen extending its tepid bounce near 1.1525, as the US dollar continues to gyrate near one-week troughs of 96.46, with Trump’s Fed criticism still weighing down on the buck.

Despite the latest leg higher, it remains to be seen if the spot can take out the key resistance located near 1.1540 region. According to the technical confluence indicator, “the pair has resistance at around 1.1545 where we see the congestion of the Pivot Point one-week R2, the one-hour high, the four-hour high, the PP one-day R2, and the Bolinger Band 15m-Upper. This could limit any upside,” FXStreet’s Analyst Yohay Elam notes.

In the day, the EUR bulls could gain further momentum on the back of widening German-Italy 10-year yield spread, as Italy political worries resurface. However, the USD dynamics will continue to remain the key driver amid a lack of fresh fundamental catalysts, as the focus shifts to the FOMC minutes due tomorrow.

EUR/USD Technical Levels

Slobodan Drvenica at Windsor Brokers, notes: “Monday's close above pivots at 1.1454 (10SMA) and 1.1470 (Fibo 38.2% of 1.1745/1.1302 descend) confirmed Doji reversal pattern on daily chart and generated a bullish signal for recovery extension. Fresh bulls faced so far strong headwinds at 1.1445 resistance zone and may hold in extended consolidation before fresh attempts higher, with overbought slow stochastic supporting scenario. Extended dips should be contained above broken 10SMA to keep near-term bulls in play for the renewed attack at 20SMA / weekly cloud base pivotal barriers. Break and close above 20SMA would be bullish signal for recovery extension towards 1.1575/83 (Fibo 61.8% / falling 30SMA) and 1.1627 (55SMA).” 

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.